BUSE

First Busey Corporation

64
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BUSE's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 24% and its operating margin rose 15 points to 38%. At 11x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BUSE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BUSE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BUSE.

BUSE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$26.46-8.4%
Current11x$28.88—
Forward11x$28.88—
Fair12x$30.48+5.5%
Expensive14x$37.62+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BUSE's PE is in its fair range at 11.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11.0x.

BUSE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BUSE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BUSE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$34.59
Downside-13%$25.16

Calculated from the latest close: $28.88 on Nov 12.

BUSE's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +20% against −13%.

BUSE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.64+0.3%
Q3 2026$2.63+127%
Q2 2026$2.60+130%
Q1 2026$2.43+125%
Q4 2025$1.47-26%
Q3 2025$1.16-41%
Q2 2025$1.13-42%
Q1 2025$1.08-46%
Q4 2024$1.98-9.2%

BUSE earned $2.63 per share over the past year, up 127% from the year before.

BUSE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$193.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$196.7M-0.7%
Q1 2026$196.2M+57%
Q4 2025$200.2M+71%
Q3 2025$196.3M+66%
Q2 2025$198M+140%
Q1 2025$125M+65%
Q4 2024$116.8M+51%

BUSE's revenue is growing: $194M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

BUSE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.3M+27%
Q2 2026$39.2M-15%
Q1 2026$49.1M+646%
Q4 2025$65.8M+31%
Q3 2025$54.5M-7.9%
Q2 2025$46.1M+75%
Q1 2025$6.6M-82%
Q4 2024$50.4M+16%

BUSE's free cash flow was $223M over the past year, up 42% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BUSE.

BUSE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-7.2%-6.5M shares
3 years+49%+27.4M shares
5 years+47%+26.9M shares
Available history+52%+28.6M shares

BUSE has 84M diluted shares, down 7.2% from a year ago, with $220M in buybacks over the past year.

BUSE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.9xNet Cash

BUSE has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BUSE.

BUSE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

BUSE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

BUSE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBUSESector medianRelative
PE11x13x16% below
PE %356328 pts below

BUSE is trading at 11x earnings, a 16% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BUSE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.41.6% below
20 week MA$29.93.5% below
50 week MA$27.54.9% above
100 week MA$25.214% above
200 week MA$24.020% above

BUSE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 20% above its 200-week average.

BUSE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.6$21.4-22%
2021$21.4$27.0+26%
2022$27.0$25.0-7.4%
2023$25.0$24.8-0.7%
2024$24.8$23.7-4.4%
2025$23.7$24.4+2.9%
2026 YTD$24.4$28.9+18%

BUSE has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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