BUSE

First Busey Corporation

64
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BUSE has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BUSE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BUSE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BUSE.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

BUSE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$26.46-8.4%
Current11x$28.88—
Forward11x$28.88—
Fair12x$30.48+5.5%
Expensive14x$37.62+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BUSE has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

BUSE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BUSE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over BUSE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

BUSE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$34.59
Downside-13%$25.16

Calculated from the latest close: $28.88 on Nov 12.

BUSE trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BUSE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BUSE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.64+0.3%
Q3 2026$2.63+127%
Q2 2026$2.60+130%
Q1 2026$2.43+125%
Q4 2025$1.47-26%
Q3 2025$1.16-41%
Q2 2025$1.13-42%
Q1 2025$1.08-46%
Q4 2024$1.98-9.2%

BUSE earned $2.63 per share over the past year, up 127% from the year before.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over BUSE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BUSE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$193.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$196.7M-0.7%
Q1 2026$196.2M+57%
Q4 2025$200.2M+71%
Q3 2025$196.3M+66%
Q2 2025$198M+140%
Q1 2025$125M+65%
Q4 2024$116.8M+51%

BUSE's revenue is growing: $194M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BUSE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.3M+27%
Q2 2026$39.2M-15%
Q1 2026$49.1M+646%
Q4 2025$65.8M+31%
Q3 2025$54.5M-7.9%
Q2 2025$46.1M+75%
Q1 2025$6.6M-82%
Q4 2024$50.4M+16%

BUSE's free cash flow was $223M over the past year, up 42% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BUSE.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

BUSE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-7.2%-6.5M shares
3 years+49%+27.4M shares
5 years+47%+26.9M shares
Available history+52%+28.6M shares

BUSE has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

BUSE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.9xNet Cash

BUSE has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

BUSE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

BUSE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BUSE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBUSESector medianRelative
PE11x13x16% below
PE %356328 pts below

BUSE has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BUSE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.41.6% below
20 week MA$29.93.5% below
50 week MA$27.54.9% above
100 week MA$25.214% above
200 week MA$24.020% above

BUSE has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

BUSE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.6$21.4-22%
2021$21.4$27.0+26%
2022$27.0$25.0-7.4%
2023$25.0$24.8-0.7%
2024$24.8$23.7-4.4%
2025$23.7$24.4+2.9%
2026 YTD$24.4$28.9+18%

BUSE has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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