BUSE

First Busey Corporation

64
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BUSE has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BUSE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BUSE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BUSE.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BUSE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$26.46-8.4%
Current11x$28.88—
Forward11x$28.88—
Fair12x$30.48+5.5%
Expensive14x$37.62+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BUSE has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BUSE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BUSE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over BUSE on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BUSE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$34.59
Downside-13%$25.16

Calculated from the latest close: $28.88 on Nov 12.

BUSE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BUSE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BUSE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.64+0.3%
Q3 2026$2.63+127%
Q2 2026$2.60+130%
Q1 2026$2.43+125%
Q4 2025$1.47-26%
Q3 2025$1.16-41%
Q2 2025$1.13-42%
Q1 2025$1.08-46%
Q4 2024$1.98-9.2%

BUSE earned $2.63 per share over the past year, up 127% from the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BUSE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BUSE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$193.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$196.7M-0.7%
Q1 2026$196.2M+57%
Q4 2025$200.2M+71%
Q3 2025$196.3M+66%
Q2 2025$198M+140%
Q1 2025$125M+65%
Q4 2024$116.8M+51%

BUSE's revenue is growing: $194M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BUSE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.3M+27%
Q2 2026$39.2M-15%
Q1 2026$49.1M+646%
Q4 2025$65.8M+31%
Q3 2025$54.5M-7.9%
Q2 2025$46.1M+75%
Q1 2025$6.6M-82%
Q4 2024$50.4M+16%

BUSE has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BUSE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-7.2%-6.5M shares
3 years+49%+27.4M shares
5 years+47%+26.9M shares
Available history+52%+28.6M shares

BUSE has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

BUSE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.9xNet Cash

BUSE has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BUSE.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over BUSE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BUSE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

BUSE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BUSE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBUSESector medianRelative
PE11x13x16% below
PE %356328 pts below

BUSE has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BUSE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.41.6% below
20 week MA$29.93.5% below
50 week MA$27.54.9% above
100 week MA$25.214% above
200 week MA$24.020% above

BUSE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 20% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BUSE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.6$21.4-22%
2021$21.4$27.0+26%
2022$27.0$25.0-7.4%
2023$25.0$24.8-0.7%
2024$24.8$23.7-4.4%
2025$23.7$24.4+2.9%
2026 YTD$24.4$28.9+18%

BUSE has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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