BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
BURL has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BURL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
BURL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BURL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $252 | — |
| Current | 23x | $252 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $344 | +37% |
| Fair | 38x | $424 | +69% |
| Expensive | 55x | $611 | +143% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BURL's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BURL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BURL, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
BURL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.48 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.13 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.72 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.51 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.71 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.48 | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.16 | +37% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.80 | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.28 | +61% |
BURL has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
BURL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.9B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +11% |
BURL's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7% | +1.7 points |
BURL has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BURL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.5M | +$29.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$227.3M | +$211.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $719.9M | +279% |
| Q4 2025 | -$109.6M | -$53.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$101K | +$35.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$438.6M | -$323.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $189.8M | -54% |
| Q4 2024 | -$56.2M | -147% |
BURL's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $413M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
BURL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -248K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +3K shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -6.7% | -4.6M shares |
| Available history | -4.9% | -3.3M shares |
BURL has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88M |
| Q2 2026 | $134.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $63.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $27.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $127.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $62.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.5M |
BURL spent $346M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BURL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
BURL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BURL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.3 | Oversold |
BURL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BURL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BURL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 3 | 47 | 44 pts below |
BURL is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BURL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $256.6 | 1.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $290.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $302.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $280.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.0 | 4.1% above |
BURL has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
BURL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $226.2 | $247.9 | +9.6% |
| 2021 | $247.9 | $287.2 | +16% |
| 2022 | $287.2 | $200.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $200.3 | $194.5 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $194.5 | $292.0 | +50% |
| 2025 | $292.0 | $290.3 | -0.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $290.3 | $251.9 | -13% |
BURL has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.