BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
BURL's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 23x earnings, below its usual 38x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
BURL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
BURL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BURL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $252 | — |
| Current | 23x | $252 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $344 | +37% |
| Fair | 38x | $424 | +69% |
| Expensive | 55x | $611 | +143% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BURL's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
BURL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BURL, with profitability improving.
BURL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.48 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.13 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.72 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.51 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.71 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.48 | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.16 | +37% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.80 | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.28 | +61% |
BURL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $11.13 over the past year, up 31% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
BURL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.9B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +11% |
BURL's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7% | +1.7 points |
BURL's operating margin was 8.1% last quarter, up 3.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BURL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.5M | +$29.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$227.3M | +$211.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $719.9M | +279% |
| Q4 2025 | -$109.6M | -$53.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$101K | +$35.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$438.6M | -$323.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $189.8M | -54% |
| Q4 2024 | -$56.2M | -147% |
BURL's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $413M over the past year.
BURL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -248K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +3K shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -6.7% | -4.6M shares |
| Available history | -4.9% | -3.3M shares |
BURL has 64M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88M |
| Q2 2026 | $134.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $63.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $27.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $127.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $62.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.5M |
BURL spent $346M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
BURL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
BURL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.
BURL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.3 | Oversold |
BURL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
BURL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BURL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 3 | 47 | 44 pts below |
BURL is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BURL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $256.6 | 1.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $290.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $302.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $280.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.0 | 4.1% above |
BURL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.1% above its 200-week average.
BURL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $226.2 | $247.9 | +9.6% |
| 2021 | $247.9 | $287.2 | +16% |
| 2022 | $287.2 | $200.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $200.3 | $194.5 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $194.5 | $292.0 | +50% |
| 2025 | $292.0 | $290.3 | -0.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $290.3 | $251.9 | -13% |
BURL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.