BURL

Burlington Stores, Inc.

70
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BURL has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BURL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

BURL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BURL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x163x244x326x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x163x244x326x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$252—
Current23x$252—
Cheap31x$344+37%
Fair38x$424+69%
Expensive55x$611+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BURL has the edge over GME in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 38x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BURL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

BURL has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

BURL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$372.68
Downside-12%$221.87

Calculated from the latest close: $251.87 on Nov 12.

BURL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails BURL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BURL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.23Q2 2024: $5.95Q3 2024: $6.63Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $8.16Q3 2025: $8.48Q4 2025: $8.71Q1 2026: $9.51Q2 2026: $9.72Q3 2026: $11.13Forward: $12.48
Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.23Q2 2024: $5.95Q3 2024: $6.63Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $8.16Q3 2025: $8.48Q4 2025: $8.71Q1 2026: $9.51Q2 2026: $9.72Q3 2026: $11.13Forward: $12.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.48+12%
Q3 2026$11.13+31%
Q2 2026$9.72+19%
Q1 2026$9.51+22%
Q4 2025$8.71+20%
Q3 2025$8.48+28%
Q2 2025$8.16+37%
Q1 2025$7.80+49%
Q4 2024$7.28+61%

BURL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $11.13 over the past year, up 31% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.54 over the past year, up 93% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

BURL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B+11%
Q2 2026$2.9B+14%
Q1 2026$3.6B+11%
Q4 2025$2.7B+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.7B+9.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+6%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.8%
Q4 2024$2.5B+11%

BURL has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BURL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $410MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$56MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: −$439MQ3 2025: −$101,000Q4 2025: −$110MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: −$227MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $410MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$56MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: −$439MQ3 2025: −$101,000Q4 2025: −$110MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: −$227MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.5M+$29.6M
Q2 2026-$227.3M+$211.4M
Q1 2026$719.9M+279%
Q4 2025-$109.6M-$53.4M
Q3 2025-$101K+$35.1M
Q2 2025-$438.6M-$323.1M
Q1 2025$189.8M-54%
Q4 2024-$56.2M-147%

BURL's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $413M over the past year.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over BURL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BURL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-248K shares
1 year0%+3K shares
3 years-1.8%-1.1M shares
5 years-6.7%-4.6M shares
Available history-4.9%-3.3M shares

BURL has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

BURL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

BURL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.

GME Net Leverage

BURL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic12.3Oversold

BURL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

BURL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBURLSector medianRelative
PE23x18x26% above
PE %34744 pts below

BURL is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME has the edge over BURL on valuation relative to its sector.

BURL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.61.9% below
20 week MA$290.813% below
50 week MA$302.117% below
100 week MA$280.810% below
200 week MA$242.04.1% above

BURL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.1% above its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME has the edge over BURL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BURL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$226.2$247.9+9.6%
2021$247.9$287.2+16%
2022$287.2$200.3-30%
2023$200.3$194.5-2.9%
2024$194.5$292.0+50%
2025$292.0$290.3-0.6%
2026 YTD$290.3$251.9-13%

BURL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over BURL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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