BURL

Burlington Stores, Inc.

70
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BURL has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BURL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

BURL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BURL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x163x244x326x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x163x244x326x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$252—
Current23x$252—
Cheap31x$344+37%
Fair38x$424+69%
Expensive55x$611+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BURL's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BURL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

BURL has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BURL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$372.68
Downside-12%$221.87

Calculated from the latest close: $251.87 on Nov 12.

BURL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BURL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BURL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.23Q2 2024: $5.95Q3 2024: $6.63Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $8.16Q3 2025: $8.48Q4 2025: $8.71Q1 2026: $9.51Q2 2026: $9.72Q3 2026: $11.13Forward: $12.48
Q4 2023: $4.53Q1 2024: $5.23Q2 2024: $5.95Q3 2024: $6.63Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $8.16Q3 2025: $8.48Q4 2025: $8.71Q1 2026: $9.51Q2 2026: $9.72Q3 2026: $11.13Forward: $12.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.48+12%
Q3 2026$11.13+31%
Q2 2026$9.72+19%
Q1 2026$9.51+22%
Q4 2025$8.71+20%
Q3 2025$8.48+28%
Q2 2025$8.16+37%
Q1 2025$7.80+49%
Q4 2024$7.28+61%

BURL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BURL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B+11%
Q2 2026$2.9B+14%
Q1 2026$3.6B+11%
Q4 2025$2.7B+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.7B+9.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+6%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.8%
Q4 2024$2.5B+11%

BURL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BURL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $410MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$56MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: −$439MQ3 2025: −$101,000Q4 2025: −$110MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: −$227MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $121MQ1 2024: $410MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$56MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: −$439MQ3 2025: −$101,000Q4 2025: −$110MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: −$227MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.5M+$29.6M
Q2 2026-$227.3M+$211.4M
Q1 2026$719.9M+279%
Q4 2025-$109.6M-$53.4M
Q3 2025-$101K+$35.1M
Q2 2025-$438.6M-$323.1M
Q1 2025$189.8M-54%
Q4 2024-$56.2M-147%

BURL's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $413M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over BURL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BURL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-248K shares
1 year0%+3K shares
3 years-1.8%-1.1M shares
5 years-6.7%-4.6M shares
Available history-4.9%-3.3M shares

BURL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BURL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

BURL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BURL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BURL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic12.3Oversold

BURL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BURL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBURLSector medianRelative
PE23x18x26% above
PE %34744 pts below

BURL is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BURL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.61.9% below
20 week MA$290.813% below
50 week MA$302.117% below
100 week MA$280.810% below
200 week MA$242.04.1% above

BURL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BURL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$226.2$247.9+9.6%
2021$247.9$287.2+16%
2022$287.2$200.3-30%
2023$200.3$194.5-2.9%
2024$194.5$292.0+50%
2025$292.0$290.3-0.6%
2026 YTD$290.3$251.9-13%

BURL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BURL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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