BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
BURL has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
BURL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
BURL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
BURL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $252 | — |
| Current | 23x | $252 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $344 | +37% |
| Fair | 38x | $424 | +69% |
| Expensive | 55x | $611 | +143% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BURL has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
BURL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
BURL has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
BURL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.48 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.13 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.72 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.51 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.71 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.48 | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.16 | +37% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.80 | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.28 | +61% |
BURL has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
BURL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.9B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +11% |
BURL's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7% | +1.7 points |
BURL's operating margin was 8.1% last quarter, up 3.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over BURL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over BURL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BURL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.5M | +$29.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$227.3M | +$211.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $719.9M | +279% |
| Q4 2025 | -$109.6M | -$53.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$101K | +$35.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$438.6M | -$323.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $189.8M | -54% |
| Q4 2024 | -$56.2M | -147% |
BURL's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $413M over the past year.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over BURL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BURL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -248K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +3K shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -6.7% | -4.6M shares |
| Available history | -4.9% | -3.3M shares |
BURL has 64M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88M |
| Q2 2026 | $134.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $63.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $27.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $127.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $62.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.5M |
BURL spent $346M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over BURL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
BURL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
BURL has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
BURL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.3 | Oversold |
BURL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
BURL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BURL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 3 | 47 | 44 pts below |
BURL has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BURL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $256.6 | 1.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $290.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $302.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $280.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.0 | 4.1% above |
BURL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.1% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over BURL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BURL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $226.2 | $247.9 | +9.6% |
| 2021 | $247.9 | $287.2 | +16% |
| 2022 | $287.2 | $200.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $200.3 | $194.5 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $194.5 | $292.0 | +50% |
| 2025 | $292.0 | $290.3 | -0.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $290.3 | $251.9 | -13% |
BURL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over BURL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.