BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

58
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BSRR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over BSRR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BSRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BSRR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BSRR.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

BSRR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$31.30-26%
Fair9.4x$36.40-13%
Current11x$42.06—
Forward11x$42.06—
Expensive12x$45.12+7.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BSRR's PE is in its expensive range at 10.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.9x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over BSRR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BSRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BSRR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over BSRR on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

BSRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$52.66
Downside-15%$35.63

Calculated from the latest close: $42.06 on Nov 12.

BSRR trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BSRR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BSRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87-0.1%
Q3 2026$3.87+35%
Q2 2026$3.41+18%
Q1 2026$3.42+21%
Q4 2025$3.11+11%
Q3 2025$2.87+14%
Q2 2025$2.89+17%
Q1 2025$2.82+17%
Q4 2024$2.81+19%

BSRR has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

BSRR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.1M+0.1%
Q2 2026$39M-0.6%
Q1 2026$38.6M+5%
Q4 2025$39.3M+3.8%
Q3 2025$40M+3.8%
Q2 2025$39.2M+3.7%
Q1 2025$36.8M-1.5%
Q4 2024$37.9M+5.4%

BSRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $40M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over BSRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BSRR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+41%
Q2 2026$5.4M+$41.7M
Q1 2026$11M-73%
Q4 2025$13.5M-38%
Q3 2025$14.7M-46%
Q2 2025-$36.3M-18076%
Q1 2025$40.2M+509%
Q4 2024$21.9M+437%

BSRR has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

BSRR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-35.6K shares
1 year-4.1%-547K shares
3 years-12%-1.7M shares
5 years-16%-2.4M shares
Available history-16%-2.5M shares

BSRR has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

BSRR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

BSRR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BSRR.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over BSRR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BSRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic60.4Neutral

BSRR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

BSRR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBSRRSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %71638 pts above

BSRR has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BSRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.73.4% above
20 week MA$40.83.2% above
50 week MA$37.911% above
100 week MA$33.426% above
200 week MA$27.553% above

BSRR has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

BSRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$23.6-19%
2021$23.6$27.3+16%
2022$27.3$21.7-21%
2023$21.7$22.6+4%
2024$22.6$29.0+29%
2025$29.0$33.1+14%
2026 YTD$33.1$42.1+27%

BSRR has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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