BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

58
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BSRR's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, above its usual 9.4x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BSRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BSRR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BSRR.

BSRR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$31.30-26%
Fair9.4x$36.40-13%
Current11x$42.06—
Forward11x$42.06—
Expensive12x$45.12+7.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BSRR's PE is in its expensive range at 10.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.9x.

BSRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BSRR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BSRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$52.66
Downside-15%$35.63

Calculated from the latest close: $42.06 on Nov 12.

BSRR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −15%.

BSRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87-0.1%
Q3 2026$3.87+35%
Q2 2026$3.41+18%
Q1 2026$3.42+21%
Q4 2025$3.11+11%
Q3 2025$2.87+14%
Q2 2025$2.89+17%
Q1 2025$2.82+17%
Q4 2024$2.81+19%

BSRR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.87 over the past year, up 35% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

BSRR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.1M+0.1%
Q2 2026$39M-0.6%
Q1 2026$38.6M+5%
Q4 2025$39.3M+3.8%
Q3 2025$40M+3.8%
Q2 2025$39.2M+3.7%
Q1 2025$36.8M-1.5%
Q4 2024$37.9M+5.4%

BSRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $40M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BSRR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+41%
Q2 2026$5.4M+$41.7M
Q1 2026$11M-73%
Q4 2025$13.5M-38%
Q3 2025$14.7M-46%
Q2 2025-$36.3M-18076%
Q1 2025$40.2M+509%
Q4 2024$21.9M+437%

BSRR's free cash flow was $51M over the past year, up 25% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BSRR.

BSRR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-35.6K shares
1 year-4.1%-547K shares
3 years-12%-1.7M shares
5 years-16%-2.4M shares
Available history-16%-2.5M shares

BSRR has 13M diluted shares, down 4.1% from a year ago, with $22M in buybacks over the past year.

BSRR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

BSRR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BSRR.

BSRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic60.4Neutral

BSRR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

BSRR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBSRRSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %71638 pts above

BSRR is trading at 11x earnings, a 17% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BSRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.73.4% above
20 week MA$40.83.2% above
50 week MA$37.911% above
100 week MA$33.426% above
200 week MA$27.553% above

BSRR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 53% above its 200-week average.

BSRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$23.6-19%
2021$23.6$27.3+16%
2022$27.3$21.7-21%
2023$21.7$22.6+4%
2024$22.6$29.0+29%
2025$29.0$33.1+14%
2026 YTD$33.1$42.1+27%

BSRR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 27% so far in 2026.

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