BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

58
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BSRR has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BSRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BSRR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BSRR.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BSRR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$31.30-26%
Fair9.4x$36.40-13%
Current11x$42.06—
Forward11x$42.06—
Expensive12x$45.12+7.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BSRR has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

BSRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BSRR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over BSRR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BSRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$52.66
Downside-15%$35.63

Calculated from the latest close: $42.06 on Nov 12.

BSRR trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BSRR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BSRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87-0.1%
Q3 2026$3.87+35%
Q2 2026$3.41+18%
Q1 2026$3.42+21%
Q4 2025$3.11+11%
Q3 2025$2.87+14%
Q2 2025$2.89+17%
Q1 2025$2.82+17%
Q4 2024$2.81+19%

BSRR has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

BSRR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.1M+0.1%
Q2 2026$39M-0.6%
Q1 2026$38.6M+5%
Q4 2025$39.3M+3.8%
Q3 2025$40M+3.8%
Q2 2025$39.2M+3.7%
Q1 2025$36.8M-1.5%
Q4 2024$37.9M+5.4%

BSRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $40M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over BSRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BSRR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+41%
Q2 2026$5.4M+$41.7M
Q1 2026$11M-73%
Q4 2025$13.5M-38%
Q3 2025$14.7M-46%
Q2 2025-$36.3M-18076%
Q1 2025$40.2M+509%
Q4 2024$21.9M+437%

BSRR has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BSRR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-35.6K shares
1 year-4.1%-547K shares
3 years-12%-1.7M shares
5 years-16%-2.4M shares
Available history-16%-2.5M shares

BSRR has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

BSRR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

BSRR has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BSRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic60.4Neutral

BSRR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BSRR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBSRRSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %71638 pts above

BSRR has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BSRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.73.4% above
20 week MA$40.83.2% above
50 week MA$37.911% above
100 week MA$33.426% above
200 week MA$27.553% above

BSRR has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

BSRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$23.6-19%
2021$23.6$27.3+16%
2022$27.3$21.7-21%
2023$21.7$22.6+4%
2024$22.6$29.0+29%
2025$29.0$33.1+14%
2026 YTD$33.1$42.1+27%

BSRR has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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