BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

58
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BSRR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over BSRR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

BSRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BSRR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BSRR.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BSRR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$31.30-26%
Fair9.4x$36.40-13%
Current11x$42.06—
Forward11x$42.06—
Expensive12x$45.12+7.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BSRR has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BSRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BSRR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over BSRR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BSRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$52.66
Downside-15%$35.63

Calculated from the latest close: $42.06 on Nov 12.

BSRR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BSRR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BSRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $2.36Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.46Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $2.82Q2 2025: $2.89Q3 2025: $2.87Q4 2025: $3.11Q1 2026: $3.42Q2 2026: $3.41Q3 2026: $3.87Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87-0.1%
Q3 2026$3.87+35%
Q2 2026$3.41+18%
Q1 2026$3.42+21%
Q4 2025$3.11+11%
Q3 2025$2.87+14%
Q2 2025$2.89+17%
Q1 2025$2.82+17%
Q4 2024$2.81+19%

BSRR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.87 over the past year, up 35% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BSRR on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BSRR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.1M+0.1%
Q2 2026$39M-0.6%
Q1 2026$38.6M+5%
Q4 2025$39.3M+3.8%
Q3 2025$40M+3.8%
Q2 2025$39.2M+3.7%
Q1 2025$36.8M-1.5%
Q4 2024$37.9M+5.4%

BSRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $40M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over BSRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BSRR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $202,000Q3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+41%
Q2 2026$5.4M+$41.7M
Q1 2026$11M-73%
Q4 2025$13.5M-38%
Q3 2025$14.7M-46%
Q2 2025-$36.3M-18076%
Q1 2025$40.2M+509%
Q4 2024$21.9M+437%

BSRR has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BSRR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-35.6K shares
1 year-4.1%-547K shares
3 years-12%-1.7M shares
5 years-16%-2.4M shares
Available history-16%-2.5M shares

BSRR has 13M diluted shares, down 4.1% from a year ago, with $22M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BSRR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BSRR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

BSRR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BSRR.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over BSRR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BSRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic60.4Neutral

BSRR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BSRR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBSRRSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %71638 pts above

BSRR has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BSRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.73.4% above
20 week MA$40.83.2% above
50 week MA$37.911% above
100 week MA$33.426% above
200 week MA$27.553% above

BSRR has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BSRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$23.6-19%
2021$23.6$27.3+16%
2022$27.3$21.7-21%
2023$21.7$22.6+4%
2024$22.6$29.0+29%
2025$29.0$33.1+14%
2026 YTD$33.1$42.1+27%

BSRR has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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