BOW
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
BOW has a slight edge over HOOD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BOW.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
BOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $34.03 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $28.41 | -17% |
| Fair | 18x | $32.73 | -3.8% |
| Current | 19x | $34.03 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $60.90 | +79% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BOW has the edge over HOOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
BOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOW, with profitability holding steady.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over BOW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
BOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.30 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.78 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.73 | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.59 | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.56 | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.47 | +73% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.31 | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.19 | +49% |
BOW has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
BOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $171.8M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $163.9M | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $155.7M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.7M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $143.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $133.3M | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.7M | +35% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.3M | +44% |
BOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2024: $172M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | -4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +4.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +8.3 points |
BOW's operating margin was 9.3% last quarter, down 4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over BOW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over BOW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $191.3M | +69% |
| Q2 2026 | $92.5M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $64.2M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $58.6M | -3.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.5M | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $46.5M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $60.9M | +0.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $118.4M | +36% |
BOW's free cash flow was $407M over the past year, up 24% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BOW.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over BOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.1% | +699K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +606K shares |
| 3 years | +8.6% | +2.7M shares |
BOW has 34M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has the edge over BOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
BOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
BOW has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BOW.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over BOW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.5 | Neutral |
BOW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
BOW PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 47% above |
| PE % | 55 | 27 | 28 pts above |
BOW has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.0 | 0.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.1 | 2.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $28.5 | 19% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.8 | 11% above |
BOW has stronger trend alignment. BOW is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus HOOD above 1 of 5.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
BOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $25.7 | $34.5 | +34% |
| 2025 | $34.5 | $28.5 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.5 | $34.0 | +19% |
BOW has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.