BOW

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BOW's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 24%, but its operating margin fell 1 points to 12%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

BOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BOW.

BOW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$34.03—
Cheap16x$28.41-17%
Fair18x$32.73-3.8%
Current19x$34.03—
Expensive34x$60.90+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BOW's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOW, with profitability holding steady.

BOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$43.89
Downside-16%$28.44

Calculated from the latest close: $34.03 on Nov 12.

BOW's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +29% against −16%.

BOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $0.86Q2 2024: $0.85Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.56Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $1.78Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $0.86Q2 2024: $0.85Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.56Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $1.78Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+29%
Q3 2026$1.78+14%
Q2 2026$1.85+26%
Q1 2026$1.73+32%
Q4 2025$1.59+34%
Q3 2025$1.56+68%
Q2 2025$1.47+73%
Q1 2025$1.31+52%
Q4 2024$1.19+49%

BOW's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.78 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2024.

BOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $172M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $172M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$171.8M+19%
Q2 2026$163.9M+23%
Q1 2026$155.7M+27%
Q4 2025$151.7M+27%
Q3 2025$143.9M+23%
Q2 2025$133.3M+35%
Q1 2025$122.7M+35%
Q4 2024$119.3M+44%

BOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2024: $172M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $191M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $191M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$191.3M+69%
Q2 2026$92.5M-14%
Q1 2026$64.2M+38%
Q4 2025$58.6M-3.7%
Q3 2025$113.5M-4.2%
Q1 2025$46.5M+13%
Q4 2024$60.9M+0.8%
Q3 2024$118.4M+36%

BOW's free cash flow was $407M over the past year, up 24% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BOW.

BOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+699K shares
1 year+1.8%+606K shares
3 years+8.6%+2.7M shares

BOW has 34M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

BOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.4xNet Cash

BOW has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BOW.

BOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.2Neutral
Stochastic56.5Neutral

BOW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BOW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBOWSector medianRelative
PE19x13x47% above
PE %552728 pts above

BOW is trading at 19x earnings, a 47% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.00.1% above
20 week MA$33.12.7% above
50 week MA$28.519% above
100 week MA$30.811% above

BOW is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 100-week average.

BOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$25.7$34.5+34%
2025$34.5$28.5-17%
2026 YTD$28.5$34.0+19%

BOW has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

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