BOW

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BOW's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 24%, but its operating margin fell 1 points to 12%. At 19x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

BOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BOW.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

BOW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$34.03—
Cheap16x$28.41-17%
Fair18x$32.73-3.8%
Current19x$34.03—
Expensive34x$60.90+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BOW's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOW, with profitability holding steady.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over BOW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$43.89
Downside-16%$28.44

Calculated from the latest close: $34.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BOW and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BOW and CIFR's risk to reward.

BOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $0.86Q2 2024: $0.85Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.56Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $1.78Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $0.86Q2 2024: $0.85Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.56Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $1.78Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+29%
Q3 2026$1.78+14%
Q2 2026$1.85+26%
Q1 2026$1.73+32%
Q4 2025$1.59+34%
Q3 2025$1.56+68%
Q2 2025$1.47+73%
Q1 2025$1.31+52%
Q4 2024$1.19+49%

BOW has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

BOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $172M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $172M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$171.8M+19%
Q2 2026$163.9M+23%
Q1 2026$155.7M+27%
Q4 2025$151.7M+27%
Q3 2025$143.9M+23%
Q2 2025$133.3M+35%
Q1 2025$122.7M+35%
Q4 2024$119.3M+44%

BOW has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

BOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $191M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $191M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$191.3M+69%
Q2 2026$92.5M-14%
Q1 2026$64.2M+38%
Q4 2025$58.6M-3.7%
Q3 2025$113.5M-4.2%
Q1 2025$46.5M+13%
Q4 2024$60.9M+0.8%
Q3 2024$118.4M+36%

BOW has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

BOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+699K shares
1 year+1.8%+606K shares
3 years+8.6%+2.7M shares

BOW has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

BOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.4xNet Cash

BOW has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BOW.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

BOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.2Neutral
Stochastic56.5Neutral

BOW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BOW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBOWSector medianRelative
PE19x13x47% above
PE %552728 pts above

BOW is trading at 19x earnings, a 47% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.00.1% above
20 week MA$33.12.7% above
50 week MA$28.519% above
100 week MA$30.811% above

BOW has stronger trend alignment. BOW is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus CIFR above 0 of 5.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

BOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$25.7$34.5+34%
2025$34.5$28.5-17%
2026 YTD$28.5$34.0+19%

BOW has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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