BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
BLMN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BLMN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
BLMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BLMN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.3x | $10.12 | — |
| Cheap | 9.8x | $8.08 | -20% |
| Current | 12x | $10.12 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $18.19 | +80% |
| Expensive | 34x | $27.95 | +176% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLMN's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BLMN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BLMN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over BLMN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
BLMN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.09 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.82 | +$1.49 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.31 | +$0.36 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.25 | +$0.28 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.59 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.67 | -$0.59 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.05 | -117% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.49 | -158% |
BLMN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
BLMN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $944.3M | +1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $975.2M | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $928.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $972M | -19% |
BLMN's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4% | -3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.9% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.5% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -3.1 points |
BLMN has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over BLMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
BLMN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.2M | -$33.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $46.9M | +321% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +81% |
| Q4 2025 | $63.7M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.7M | +$69.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1M | +$35.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $27.7M | +211% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.7M | +58% |
BLMN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
BLMN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -587K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +543K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -12.9M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -22.1M shares |
| Available history | -4.6% | -4.1M shares |
BLMN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $18.2M |
| Q2 2024 | $14.6M |
| Q1 2024 | $232.9M |
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
BLMN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
BLMN's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BLMN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.6 | Neutral |
BLMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
BLMN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BLMN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 32% below |
| PE % | 31 | 47 | 16 pts below |
BLMN is trading at 12x earnings, a 32% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BLMN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.32 | 8.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.35 | 8.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.86 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $8.25 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.7 | 36% below |
BLMN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
BLMN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.7 | $19.0 | -13% |
| 2021 | $19.0 | $21.0 | +11% |
| 2022 | $21.0 | $21.0 | 0% |
| 2023 | $21.0 | $28.2 | +34% |
| 2024 | $28.2 | $12.3 | -56% |
| 2025 | $12.3 | $6.79 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.79 | $10.1 | +49% |
BLMN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.