BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
BLMN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 12x earnings, below its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
BLMN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
BLMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
BLMN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.4x | $10.12 | — |
| Cheap | 9.8x | $8.08 | -20% |
| Current | 12x | $10.12 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $18.19 | +80% |
| Expensive | 34x | $27.95 | +176% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLMN's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.4x next year's earnings.
BLMN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BLMN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BLMN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.07 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.82 | +$1.49 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.31 | +$0.36 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.25 | +$0.28 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.59 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.67 | -$0.59 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.05 | -117% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.49 | -158% |
BLMN has returned to profit: it earned $0.82 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BLMN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $944.3M | +1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $975.2M | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $928.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $972M | -19% |
BLMN's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4% | -3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.9% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.5% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -3.1 points |
BLMN's operating margin was 2% last quarter, up 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BLMN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.2M | -$33.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $46.9M | +321% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +81% |
| Q4 2025 | $63.7M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.7M | +$69.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1M | +$35.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $27.7M | +211% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.7M | +58% |
BLMN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$39M, but it generated $121M over the past year.
BLMN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -587K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +543K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -12.9M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -22.1M shares |
| Available history | -4.6% | -4.1M shares |
BLMN has 86M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $18.2M |
| Q2 2024 | $14.6M |
| Q1 2024 | $232.9M |
BLMN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
BLMN's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
BLMN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.6 | Neutral |
BLMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
BLMN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BLMN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 32% below |
| PE % | 31 | 47 | 16 pts below |
BLMN is trading at 12x earnings, a 32% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BLMN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.32 | 8.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.35 | 8.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.86 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $8.25 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.7 | 36% below |
BLMN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.
BLMN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.7 | $19.0 | -13% |
| 2021 | $19.0 | $21.0 | +11% |
| 2022 | $21.0 | $21.0 | 0% |
| 2023 | $21.0 | $28.2 | +34% |
| 2024 | $28.2 | $12.3 | -56% |
| 2025 | $12.3 | $6.79 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.79 | $10.1 | +49% |
BLMN is up 49% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.