BLMN

Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

65
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

BLMN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BLMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BLMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.3x$10.12—
Cheap9.8x$8.08-20%
Current12x$10.12—
Fair22x$18.19+80%
Expensive34x$27.95+176%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLMN's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BLMN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$15.29
Downside-29%$7.21

Calculated from the latest close: $10.12 on Nov 12.

BLMN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails BLMN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.56Q1 2024: $0.67Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $-1.49Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.82Forward: $1.09
Q4 2023: $2.56Q1 2024: $0.67Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $-1.49Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.82Forward: $1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.09+33%
Q3 2026$0.82+$1.49
Q2 2026$0.31+$0.36
Q1 2026$0.25+$0.28
Q4 2025$0.10+$1.59
Q3 2025-$0.67-$0.59
Q2 2025-$0.05-117%
Q1 2025-$0.03-104%
Q4 2024-$1.49-158%

BLMN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

BLMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $972MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $929MQ4 2025: $975MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $944M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $972MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $929MQ4 2025: $975MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $944M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$944.3M+1.7%
Q2 2026$1B+1.3%
Q1 2026$1.1B+1%
Q4 2025$975.2M+0.3%
Q3 2025$928.8M-11%
Q2 2025$1B-10%
Q1 2025$1B-12%
Q4 2024$972M-19%

BLMN's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over BLMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$75MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: −$39M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$75MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: −$39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.2M-$33.5M
Q2 2026$46.9M+321%
Q1 2026$50.1M+81%
Q4 2025$63.7M-35%
Q3 2025-$5.7M+$69.2M
Q2 2025$11.1M+$35.4M
Q1 2025$27.7M+211%
Q4 2024$97.7M+58%

BLMN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

BLMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 86M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 86M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-587K shares
1 year+0.6%+543K shares
3 years-13%-12.9M shares
5 years-21%-22.1M shares
Available history-4.6%-4.1M shares

BLMN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

BLMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

BLMN's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BLMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.2Neutral
Stochastic53.6Neutral

BLMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BLMN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBLMNSector medianRelative
PE12x18x32% below
PE %314716 pts below

BLMN is trading at 12x earnings, a 32% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.328.6% above
20 week MA$9.358.2% above
50 week MA$7.8629% above
100 week MA$8.2523% above
200 week MA$15.736% below

BLMN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

BLMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.7$19.0-13%
2021$19.0$21.0+11%
2022$21.0$21.00%
2023$21.0$28.2+34%
2024$28.2$12.3-56%
2025$12.3$6.79-45%
2026 YTD$6.79$10.1+49%

BLMN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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