BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
BLMN has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BLMN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
BLMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
BLMN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.3x | $10.12 | — |
| Cheap | 9.8x | $8.08 | -20% |
| Current | 12x | $10.12 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $18.19 | +80% |
| Expensive | 34x | $27.95 | +176% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLMN has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
BLMN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BLMN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
BLMN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.09 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.82 | +$1.49 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.31 | +$0.36 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.25 | +$0.28 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.59 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.67 | -$0.59 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.05 | -117% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.49 | -158% |
BLMN has returned to profit: it earned $0.82 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BLMN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $944.3M | +1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $975.2M | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $928.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $972M | -19% |
BLMN's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4% | -3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.9% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.5% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -3.1 points |
BLMN's operating margin was 2% last quarter, up 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BLMN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.2M | -$33.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $46.9M | +321% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +81% |
| Q4 2025 | $63.7M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.7M | +$69.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1M | +$35.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $27.7M | +211% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.7M | +58% |
BLMN has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
BLMN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -587K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +543K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -12.9M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -22.1M shares |
| Available history | -4.6% | -4.1M shares |
BLMN has 86M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $18.2M |
| Q2 2024 | $14.6M |
| Q1 2024 | $232.9M |
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
BLMN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
BLMN's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BLMN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.6 | Neutral |
BLMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
BLMN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BLMN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 32% below |
| PE % | 31 | 47 | 16 pts below |
BLMN has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BLMN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.32 | 8.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.35 | 8.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.86 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $8.25 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.7 | 36% below |
BLMN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over BLMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BLMN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.7 | $19.0 | -13% |
| 2021 | $19.0 | $21.0 | +11% |
| 2022 | $21.0 | $21.0 | 0% |
| 2023 | $21.0 | $28.2 | +34% |
| 2024 | $28.2 | $12.3 | -56% |
| 2025 | $12.3 | $6.79 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.79 | $10.1 | +49% |
BLMN has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.