BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VEL

Velocity Financial, Inc.

60
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

VEL has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

VEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

VEL's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VEL.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

VEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.8x7.7x12x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.8x7.7x12x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.4x$16.11—
Current5.8x$16.11—
Cheap7.8x$21.75+35%
Fair10x$28.86+79%
Expensive12x$33.92+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VEL has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

VEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VEL, but weaker profitability.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails VEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$20.74
Downside-10%$14.50

Calculated from the latest close: $16.11 on Nov 12.

VEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

VEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.52Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $1.76Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $2.20Q3 2025: $2.41Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.81Q2 2026: $2.76Q3 2026: $2.78Forward: $3.00
Q4 2023: $1.52Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $1.76Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $2.20Q3 2025: $2.41Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.81Q2 2026: $2.76Q3 2026: $2.78Forward: $3.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.00+7.9%
Q3 2026$2.78+15%
Q2 2026$2.76+25%
Q1 2026$2.81+46%
Q4 2025$2.75+44%
Q3 2025$2.41+30%
Q2 2025$2.20+25%
Q1 2025$1.93+14%
Q4 2024$1.91+26%

VEL has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

VEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

VEL and BLK do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over VEL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$12M
Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$12.3M-208%
Q2 2026$3.6M-52%
Q1 2026$12M+248%
Q4 2025-$4.5M-114%
Q3 2025$11.4M+$29M
Q2 2025$7.6M-33%
Q1 2025$3.5M-67%
Q4 2024$33.2M+27%

VEL's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against $56M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VEL.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over VEL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+155K shares
1 year+1.7%+659K shares
3 years+14%+4.7M shares
5 years+15%+5.2M shares
Available history+96%+19.4M shares

VEL has 39M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

VEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

VEL has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

VEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic46.0Neutral

VEL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VEL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVELSector medianRelative
PE5.8x13x56% below
PE %26462 pts below

VEL has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over VEL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.53.8% above
20 week MA$16.94.6% below
50 week MA$18.010% below
100 week MA$18.111% below
200 week MA$16.52.1% below

VEL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 2.1% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over VEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.5$6.28-54%
2021$6.28$13.3+112%
2022$13.3$9.55-28%
2023$9.55$17.2+80%
2024$17.2$19.7+14%
2025$19.7$19.5-0.9%
2026 YTD$19.5$16.1-17%

VEL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +112% in 2021 to −54% in 2020. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

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