VEL
Velocity Financial, Inc.
VEL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 5.8x earnings, below its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
VEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
VEL's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VEL.
VEL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 5.4x | $16.11 | — |
| Current | 5.8x | $16.11 | — |
| Cheap | 7.8x | $21.75 | +35% |
| Fair | 10x | $28.86 | +79% |
| Expensive | 12x | $33.92 | +111% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VEL's PE is in its cheap range at 5.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.4x next year's earnings.
VEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VEL, but weaker profitability.
VEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.00 | +7.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.78 | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.76 | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.81 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.75 | +44% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.41 | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.20 | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.93 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.91 | +26% |
VEL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.78 over the past year, up 15% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.
VEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | 22% | N/A |
VEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$12.3M | -208% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $12M | +248% |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.5M | -114% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.4M | +$29M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6M | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5M | -67% |
| Q4 2024 | $33.2M | +27% |
VEL's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against $56M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VEL.
VEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +155K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +659K shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +4.7M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +5.2M shares |
| Available history | +96% | +19.4M shares |
VEL has 39M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $361,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $4.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $179,000 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $266,000 |
| Q1 2024 | $1.3M |
VEL spent $8M buying back its own shares over the past year.
VEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
VEL has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VEL.
VEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 46.0 | Neutral |
VEL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).
VEL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | VEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.8x | 13x | 56% below |
| PE % | 2 | 64 | 62 pts below |
VEL is trading at 5.8x earnings, a 56% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
VEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.5 | 3.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.9 | 4.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.0 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.1 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.5 | 2.1% below |
VEL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 2.1% below its 200-week average.
VEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.5 | $6.28 | -54% |
| 2021 | $6.28 | $13.3 | +112% |
| 2022 | $13.3 | $9.55 | -28% |
| 2023 | $9.55 | $17.2 | +80% |
| 2024 | $17.2 | $19.7 | +14% |
| 2025 | $19.7 | $19.5 | -0.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $16.1 | -17% |
VEL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +112% in 2021 to −54% in 2020. It's down 17% so far in 2026.