BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VCTR

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VCTR has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

VCTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

VCTR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VCTR.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over VCTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VCTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$43.06-65%
Fair11x$59.64-52%
Forward15x$124—
Expensive17x$92.20-26%
Current23x$124—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VCTR's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

VCTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VCTR, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails VCTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VCTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$148.28
Downside-19%$100.32

Calculated from the latest close: $124.44 on Nov 12.

VCTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

VCTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.47+55%
Q3 2026$5.45+39%
Q2 2026$5.45+34%
Q1 2026$4.45-1.1%
Q4 2025$4.08-6.8%
Q3 2025$3.93-2%
Q2 2025$4.06+15%
Q1 2025$4.50+38%
Q4 2024$4.38+40%

VCTR has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

VCTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$396.6M+9.8%
Q2 2026$435.4M+24%
Q1 2026$388M+77%
Q4 2025$374.1M+61%
Q3 2025$361.2M+60%
Q2 2025$351.2M+60%
Q1 2025$219.6M+1.7%
Q4 2024$232.4M+13%

VCTR has the edge over BLK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

VCTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$222.4M+35%
Q2 2026$134.2M+$141.7M
Q1 2026$120.1M+51%
Q4 2025$144.5M+58%
Q3 2025$164.8M+66%
Q2 2025-$7.5M-109%
Q1 2025$79.5M+17%
Q4 2024$91.7M-4.8%

VCTR has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VCTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-311K shares
1 year-6.7%-4.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-5.2M shares
5 years-16%-11.6M shares
Available history-15%-11M shares

VCTR has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over VCTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VCTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

VCTR's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VCTR.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

VCTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic72.5Neutral

VCTR's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VCTR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVCTRSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %996336 pts above

VCTR has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

VCTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$113.110% above
20 week MA$108.515% above
50 week MA$87.343% above
100 week MA$75.764% above
200 week MA$58.3114% above

VCTR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 114% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

VCTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$23.8+14%
2021$23.8$36.7+54%
2022$36.7$27.2-26%
2023$27.2$34.4+27%
2024$34.4$66.3+92%
2025$66.3$64.3-3%
2026 YTD$64.3$124.4+94%

VCTR has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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