BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

USB

U.S. Bancorp

61
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

USB has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

USB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

USB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like USB.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

USB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$51.43-15%
Forward11x$60.47—
Fair12x$60.09-0.6%
Current12x$60.47—
Expensive14x$71.44+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

USB has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

USB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for USB, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails USB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

USB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$74.67
Downside-11%$53.87

Calculated from the latest close: $60.47 on Nov 12.

USB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

USB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $3.01Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.26Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $4.04Q2 2025: $4.18Q3 2025: $4.37Q4 2025: $4.62Q1 2026: $4.77Q2 2026: $5.01Q3 2026: $5.13Forward: $5.70
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $3.01Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.26Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $4.04Q2 2025: $4.18Q3 2025: $4.37Q4 2025: $4.62Q1 2026: $4.77Q2 2026: $5.01Q3 2026: $5.13Forward: $5.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.70+11%
Q3 2026$5.13+17%
Q2 2026$5.01+20%
Q1 2026$4.77+18%
Q4 2025$4.62+22%
Q3 2025$4.37+34%
Q2 2025$4.18+33%
Q1 2025$4.04+34%
Q4 2024$3.79+16%

USB has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over USB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

USB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.9BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: $7.3BQ2 2026: $7.7BQ3 2026: $7.9B
Q4 2023: $6.7BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7BQ1 2025: $6.9BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: $7.3BQ2 2026: $7.7BQ3 2026: $7.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.9B+8.9%
Q2 2026$7.7B+10%
Q1 2026$7.3B+4.8%
Q4 2025$7.3B+5.1%
Q3 2025$7.3B+6.8%
Q2 2025$7B+2%
Q1 2025$6.9B+3.6%
Q4 2024$7B+3.7%

USB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $7.9B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

USB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $416MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $972MQ4 2024: $4.8BQ1 2025: −$285MQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $416MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $972MQ4 2024: $4.8BQ1 2025: −$285MQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+12%
Q2 2026$4.8B+137%
Q1 2026$1.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2025$2.8B-40%
Q3 2025$3.4B+249%
Q2 2025$2B-29%
Q1 2025-$285M-111%
Q4 2024$4.8B+1046%

USB's free cash flow was $12.8B over the past year, up 29% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like USB.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over USB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

USB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+4M shares
1 year+0.1%+2M shares
3 years+0.6%+10M shares
5 years+5.1%+75M shares
Available history-1.5%-24M shares

USB has 1.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

USB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.8xQ1 2024: -8.1xQ2 2024: -6.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -5.8xQ1 2024: -8.1xQ2 2024: -6.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -5.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash

USB has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

USB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

USB's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

USB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUSBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.4% below
PE %516312 pts below

USB has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over USB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

USB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.02.6% above
20 week MA$61.31.4% below
50 week MA$57.64.9% above
100 week MA$51.717% above
200 week MA$46.131% above

USB's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 31% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over USB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

USB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.7$46.5-22%
2021$46.5$56.3+21%
2022$56.3$43.2-23%
2023$43.2$43.3+0.2%
2024$43.3$48.5+12%
2025$48.5$55.0+13%
2026 YTD$55.0$60.5+10%

USB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 10% so far in 2026.

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