BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TWFG

TWFG, Inc. Common Stock

64
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TWFG has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

TWFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TWFG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TWFG.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

TWFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$26.72—
Cheap34x$20.20-24%
Fair41x$23.99-10%
Current45x$26.72—
Expensive47x$27.74+3.8%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TWFG has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

TWFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TWFG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails TWFG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TWFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$38.30
Downside-29%$18.87

Calculated from the latest close: $26.72 on Nov 12.

TWFG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

TWFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.59Forward: $1.19
Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.59Forward: $1.19

TWFG and BLK do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

TWFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.9M+25%
Q2 2026$87.5M+45%
Q1 2026$72.8M+35%
Q4 2025$70.3M+42%
Q3 2025$64.1M+17%
Q2 2025$60.3M+13%
Q1 2025$53.8M+20%
Q4 2024$49.5M+30%

TWFG has the edge over BLK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over TWFG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TWFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.4M-30%
Q2 2026$9.3M-2.7%
Q1 2026$22.4M+43%
Q4 2025$13.1M+50%
Q3 2025$14.9M+30%
Q1 2025$15.6M+$26.9M
Q4 2024$8.7M+$11.7M
Q3 2024$11.5M+73%

TWFG's free cash flow was $55M over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TWFG.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TWFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-98.7K shares
1 year-14%-2.1M shares

TWFG has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

TWFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -2.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -2.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

TWFG has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

TWFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic50.3Neutral

TWFG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over TWFG on valuation relative to its sector.

TWFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTWFGSector medianRelative
PE45x13x248% above
PE %702248 pts above

TWFG is trading at 45x earnings, a 248% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has stronger trend alignment. BLK is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus TWFG above 2 of 4.

TWFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.12.3% above
20 week MA$26.90.5% below
50 week MA$24.012% above
100 week MA$26.90.8% below

TWFG's trend is mixed: it's above two of its four weekly moving averages, and 0.8% below its 100-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over TWFG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TWFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$22.6$28.9+28%
2025$28.9$29.1+0.7%
2026 YTD$29.1$26.7-8.2%

TWFG has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 8.2% so far in 2026.

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