BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TFIN

Triumph Financial, Inc.

60
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

TFIN has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

TFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TFIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TFIN.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over TFIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x106x141x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x106x141x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$30.11-49%
Forward18x$59.05—
Fair24x$47.63-19%
Current30x$59.05—
Expensive57x$112+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TFIN's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

TFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TFIN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails TFIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$106.54
Downside-13%$51.36

Calculated from the latest close: $59.05 on Nov 12.

TFIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

TFIN has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 11% for BLK versus TFIN up 148%.

TFIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.61Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.11Q3 2024: $0.79Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2026: $1.19Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.96Forward: $3.22
Q4 2023: $1.61Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.11Q3 2024: $0.79Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2026: $1.19Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.96Forward: $3.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.22+64%
Q4 2024$0.54-66%
Q3 2024$0.79-58%
Q2 2024$1.11-45%
Q1 2024$1.32-62%
Q4 2023$1.61-59%
Q3 2023$1.90-56%
Q2 2023$2.01-56%
Q1 2023$3.46-13%

TFIN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.96 over the past year, against $4.62 in mid-2022.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over TFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $104MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $104MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.7M+15%
Q2 2026$120.2M+11%
Q1 2026$105.8M+4.2%
Q4 2025$120.1M+16%
Q3 2025$109.3M+2.9%
Q2 2025$108.1M+2.8%
Q1 2025$101.6M+0.5%
Q4 2024$103.6M-2.4%

TFIN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $126M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

TFIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.3M-5.3%
Q1 2026$3.3M+$6.3M
Q4 2025$36.5M-1.3%
Q3 2025$22.4M+5.8%
Q1 2025-$3M+$13M
Q4 2024$37M+46%
Q3 2024$21.2M+136%
Q2 2024$16.3M+106%

TFIN's free cash flow was $104M over the past year, up 34% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFIN.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over TFIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TFIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3.1K shares
1 year+0.9%+221K shares
3 years+2.9%+686K shares
5 years-4.3%-1.1M shares
Available history-7.3%-1.9M shares

TFIN has 24M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

TFIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.8xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -7.2xQ2 2026: -11.4xQ3 2026: -10.9x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.8xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -7.2xQ2 2026: -11.4xQ3 2026: -10.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-10.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-11.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.2xNet Cash
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.8xNet Cash

TFIN has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

TFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.6Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

TFIN's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over TFIN on valuation relative to its sector.

TFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTFINSector medianRelative
PE30x13x131% above
PE %58635 pts below

TFIN is trading at 30x earnings, a 131% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over TFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.74.3% below
20 week MA$69.115% below
50 week MA$66.511% below
100 week MA$64.28% below
200 week MA$68.013% below

TFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over TFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.4$48.3+26%
2021$48.3$113.1+134%
2022$113.1$49.4-56%
2023$49.4$80.2+62%
2024$80.2$90.9+13%
2025$90.9$64.0-30%
2026 YTD$64.0$59.1-7.8%

TFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +134% in 2021 to −56% in 2022. It's down 7.8% so far in 2026.

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