BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TBBK

The Bancorp, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TBBK has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

TBBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TBBK's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TBBK.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

TBBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7x$48.40—
Current8.5x$48.40—
Cheap10x$59.07+22%
Fair13x$71.22+47%
Expensive15x$83.37+72%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TBBK has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

TBBK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TBBK's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails TBBK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TBBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$67.89
Downside-21%$38.39

Calculated from the latest close: $48.40 on Nov 12.

TBBK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

TBBK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $4.29Q1 2025: $4.42Q2 2025: $4.64Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $4.92Q1 2026: $5.14Q2 2026: $5.32Q3 2026: $5.67Forward: $6.88
Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $4.29Q1 2025: $4.42Q2 2025: $4.64Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $4.92Q1 2026: $5.14Q2 2026: $5.32Q3 2026: $5.67Forward: $6.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.88+21%
Q3 2026$5.67+19%
Q2 2026$5.32+15%
Q1 2026$5.14+16%
Q4 2025$4.92+15%
Q3 2025$4.78+21%
Q2 2025$4.64+21%
Q1 2025$4.42+20%
Q4 2024$4.29+23%

TBBK has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over TBBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TBBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $160MQ1 2025: $175MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $175MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $161MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $160MQ1 2025: $175MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $175MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $161MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$175.9M+0.7%
Q2 2026$163.5M-9.8%
Q1 2026$161.3M-8%
Q4 2025$172.6M+8.2%
Q3 2025$174.6M+39%
Q2 2025$181.2M+46%
Q1 2025$175.4M+42%
Q4 2024$159.6M+34%

TBBK's revenue has held roughly level: $176M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over TBBK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TBBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $24M
Q4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$24.4M-69%
Q2 2026$34.4M-60%
Q1 2026$84.8M-36%
Q4 2025-$36.8M-144%
Q3 2025$77.6M+55%
Q2 2025$85.4M+460%
Q1 2025$131.7M+79%
Q4 2024$83.7M+37%

TBBK's free cash flow was $107M over the past year, down 72% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TBBK.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TBBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-645K shares
1 year-12%-5.4M shares
3 years-25%-13.6M shares
5 years-30%-17.5M shares
Available history-28%-16.2M shares

TBBK has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over TBBK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TBBK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -4.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -4.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

TBBK's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TBBK.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

TBBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

TBBK's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TBBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTBBKSector medianRelative
PE8.5x13x34% below
PE %36360 pts below

TBBK has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over TBBK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TBBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.91.1% below
20 week MA$58.217% below
50 week MA$59.218% below
100 week MA$59.519% below
200 week MA$49.31.8% below

TBBK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.8% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over TBBK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TBBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.9$13.5+4.6%
2021$13.5$24.8+85%
2022$24.8$29.0+17%
2023$29.0$38.6+33%
2024$38.6$53.6+39%
2025$53.6$69.9+30%
2026 YTD$69.9$48.4-31%

TBBK has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 31% so far in 2026.

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