BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SFNC

Simmons First National Corporation

52
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SFNC has a slight edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

SFNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SFNC's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFNC.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over SFNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SFNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$13.58-42%
Forward10x$23.39—
Fair12x$18.91-19%
Current15x$23.39—
Expensive16x$25.35+8.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SFNC's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

SFNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SFNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails SFNC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SFNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$28.57
Downside-13%$20.35

Calculated from the latest close: $23.39 on Nov 12.

SFNC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

SFNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 11% for BLK versus SFNC up 58%.

SFNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.27+41%
Q2 2025$1.27+6.7%
Q1 2025$1.16-13%
Q4 2024$1.21-12%
Q3 2024$1.02-44%
Q2 2024$1.19-43%
Q1 2024$1.33-28%
Q4 2023$1.38-33%
Q3 2023$1.830%

SFNC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.58 in early 2020.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 19% for BLK versus up 17% for SFNC.

SFNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$248.6M+16%
Q1 2026$241.4M+15%
Q4 2025$249M+19%
Q2 2025$214.2M+8.6%
Q1 2025$209.6M+7.4%
Q4 2024$208.5M+17%
Q3 2024$174.8M-11%
Q2 2024$197.2M-5.3%

SFNC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $251M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 20% versus its history, compared with SFNC at up 4.5%.

SFNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$125.5M+89%
Q1 2026$34M+50%
Q4 2025$105.7M+46%
Q2 2025$66.3M-8.8%
Q1 2025$22.6M-53%
Q4 2024$72.3M-83%
Q3 2024$187.7M+$234M
Q2 2024$72.7M+40%

SFNC's free cash flow was $324M over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SFNC.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over SFNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SFNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-270K shares
1 year+15%+18.6M shares
3 years+14%+17.7M shares
5 years+33%+36.2M shares
Available history+47%+46.3M shares

SFNC has 145M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

SFNC Net Leverage

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

SFNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

SFNC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SFNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFNCSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %796316 pts above

SFNC has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

SFNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.01.9% above
20 week MA$23.11.3% above
50 week MA$21.58.8% above
100 week MA$20.713% above
200 week MA$19.918% above

SFNC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

SFNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.8$21.1-21%
2021$21.1$29.3+39%
2022$29.3$21.5-27%
2023$21.5$19.8-7.7%
2024$19.8$22.4+13%
2025$22.4$19.2-14%
2026 YTD$19.2$23.4+22%

SFNC has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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