BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SF

Stifel Financial Corp.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

SF has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

SF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SF.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

SF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.8x$56.62-22%
Forward10x$72.26—
Fair13x$76.62+6%
Current13x$72.26—
Expensive19x$109+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SF has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

SF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SF, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails SF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$87.18
Downside-17%$60.29

Calculated from the latest close: $72.26 on Nov 12.

SF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

SF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.69Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.45Q3 2025: $3.78Q4 2025: $3.91Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $6.95
Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.69Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.45Q3 2025: $3.78Q4 2025: $3.91Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $6.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.95+21%
Q3 2026$5.75+52%
Q2 2026$5.58+62%
Q1 2026$5.13+47%
Q4 2025$3.91-6.2%
Q3 2025$3.78+2.4%
Q2 2025$3.45+9.9%
Q1 2025$3.49+19%
Q4 2024$4.17+46%

SF has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over SF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-0.2%
Q2 2026$1.5B+13%
Q1 2026$1.5B+18%
Q4 2025$1.6B+14%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+5.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B+7.9%
Q4 2024$1.4B+19%

SF's revenue is growing: $1.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

SF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$619MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: −$228MQ2 2025: $593MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: −$390MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $753M
Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$619MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $186MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: −$228MQ2 2025: $593MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: −$390MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $753M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$752.9M+134%
Q2 2026$61.3M-90%
Q1 2026-$390.4M-$162.6M
Q4 2025$369M-46%
Q3 2025$321.1M+73%
Q2 2025$592.7M+242%
Q1 2025-$227.8M+$391.6M
Q4 2024$677.2M+158%

SF's free cash flow was $793M over the past year, down 42% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SF.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 165MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 166MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 162MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.5M shares
1 year-3%-4.9M shares
3 years-5.7%-9.6M shares
5 years-9.9%-17.6M shares
Available history-8.5%-14.9M shares

SF has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

SF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -1.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.5xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

SF has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

SF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SF's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.5% below
PE %446319 pts below

SF has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over SF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.44.1% above
20 week MA$75.64.5% below
50 week MA$77.16.3% below
100 week MA$73.82.1% below
200 week MA$61.617% above

SF's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over SF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$34.1+24%
2021$34.1$46.1+35%
2022$46.1$38.6-16%
2023$38.6$46.1+19%
2024$46.1$71.1+54%
2025$71.1$85.8+21%
2026 YTD$85.8$72.3-16%

SF has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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