BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over RWAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RWAY

Runway Growth Finance Corp.

38
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

RWAY offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

RWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RWAY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWAY.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over RWAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$6.66—
Cheap6.4x$1.02-85%
Fair11x$1.76-74%
Expensive15x$2.45-63%
Current42x$6.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

RWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RWAY, but weaker profitability.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails RWAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$8.69
Downside-23%$5.14

Calculated from the latest close: $6.66 on Nov 12.

RWAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over RWAY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.35+745%
Q3 2026$0.16-89%
Q2 2026$0.12-94%
Q1 2026-$0.08-105%
Q4 2025$0.93-51%
Q3 2025$1.45+41%
Q2 2025$1.88+151%
Q1 2025$1.64+50%
Q4 2024$1.89+73%

RWAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $1.89 in late 2024.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 19% for BLK versus down 64% for RWAY.

RWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$3.2M-64%
Q1 2022$5.7M-49%
Q4 2021$20.9M-6.4%
Q3 2021$13.1M+7.2%
Q2 2021$9M-39%
Q1 2021$11.3M+267%

RWAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3M last quarter, down 64% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over RWAY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.2M+63%
Q2 2026-$194.3M-$194.1M
Q1 2026$5.9M-92%
Q4 2025$20.6M+49%
Q3 2025$92.4M+257%
Q2 2025-$297K+$38.3M
Q1 2025$73.6M+7.2%
Q4 2024$13.9M+$75.5M

RWAY's free cash flow was −$18M over the past year, against $180M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over RWAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-188K shares
1 year+16%+5.7M shares
3 years+3.4%+1.4M shares
5 years+26%+8.7M shares
Available history+1.2%+506K shares

RWAY has 42M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

RWAY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20225.4xHigh
Q1 20223.1xElevated
Q4 20211.5xHealthy
Q3 20211.7xHealthy
Q2 20212.4xModerate
Q1 20212.5xModerate

RWAY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

RWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

RWAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over RWAY on valuation relative to its sector.

RWAY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRWAYSector medianRelative
PE42x13x220% above
PE %946430 pts above

RWAY is trading at 42x earnings, a 220% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over RWAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.551.7% above
20 week MA$6.335.2% above
50 week MA$7.065.7% below
100 week MA$8.7424% below
200 week MA$10.436% below

RWAY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over RWAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.5$13.4+7.3%
2022$13.4$12.2-9.4%
2023$12.2$12.6+3.6%
2024$12.6$10.9-13%
2025$10.9$8.93-18%
2026 YTD$8.93$6.66-25%

RWAY has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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