BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PGR

The Progressive Corporation

51
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PGR has a slight edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

PGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PGR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PGR.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

PGR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$211-10%
Current12x$235—
Forward15x$235—
Fair16x$311+32%
Expensive46x$904+284%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PGR has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

PGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect PGR's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PGR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$260.87
Downside-21%$186.27

Calculated from the latest close: $235.49 on Nov 12.

PGR trails BLK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

PGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.58Q1 2024: $9.77Q2 2024: $11.68Q3 2024: $13.76Q4 2024: $14.40Q1 2025: $14.83Q2 2025: $17.75Q3 2025: $18.23Q4 2025: $19.23Q1 2026: $19.66Q2 2026: $19.93Q3 2026: $19.85Forward: $15.96
Q4 2023: $6.58Q1 2024: $9.77Q2 2024: $11.68Q3 2024: $13.76Q4 2024: $14.40Q1 2025: $14.83Q2 2025: $17.75Q3 2025: $18.23Q4 2025: $19.23Q1 2026: $19.66Q2 2026: $19.93Q3 2026: $19.85Forward: $15.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.96-20%
Q3 2026$19.85+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.93+12%
Q1 2026$19.66+33%
Q4 2025$19.23+34%
Q3 2025$18.23+32%
Q2 2025$17.75+52%
Q1 2025$14.83+52%
Q4 2024$14.40+119%

PGR has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over PGR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16.9BQ1 2024: $17.2BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: $19.7BQ4 2024: $20.3BQ1 2025: $20.4BQ2 2025: $22BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $22.7BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $23.6BQ3 2026: $23.2B
Q4 2023: $16.9BQ1 2024: $17.2BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: $19.7BQ4 2024: $20.3BQ1 2025: $20.4BQ2 2025: $22BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $22.7BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $23.6BQ3 2026: $23.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.2B+3%
Q2 2026$23.6B+7.3%
Q1 2026$22.2B+8.7%
Q4 2025$22.7B+12%
Q3 2025$22.5B+14%
Q2 2025$22B+21%
Q1 2025$20.4B+18%
Q4 2024$20.3B+20%

PGR's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $23.2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

PGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-14%
Q2 2026$3.5B-12%
Q1 2026$4.3B-15%
Q4 2025$3B+5.2%
Q3 2025$5.1B+13%
Q2 2025$3.9B+23%
Q1 2025$5.1B+21%
Q4 2024$2.9B+23%

PGR's free cash flow was $15.2B over the past year, down 11% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PGR.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 588MQ1 2024: 587MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 588MQ4 2024: 588MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 588MQ4 2025: 588MQ1 2026: 587MQ2 2026: 584MQ3 2026: 582M
Q4 2023: 588MQ1 2024: 587MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 588MQ4 2024: 588MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 588MQ4 2025: 588MQ1 2026: 587MQ2 2026: 584MQ3 2026: 582M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-2M shares
1 year-1%-6M shares
3 years-0.9%-5.3M shares
5 years-0.8%-4.9M shares
Available history-0.9%-5M shares

PGR has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

PGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xNet Cash

PGR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PGR.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

PGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic80.4Overbought

PGR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PGR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPGRSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.9% below
PE %286335 pts below

PGR has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

PGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.86.2% above
20 week MA$219.27.4% above
50 week MA$211.911% above
100 week MA$232.61.3% above
200 week MA$206.314% above

PGR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over PGR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.2$98.3+36%
2021$98.3$101.3+3%
2022$101.3$129.4+28%
2023$129.4$159.3+23%
2024$159.3$241.0+51%
2025$241.0$227.1-5.8%
2026 YTD$227.1$235.5+3.7%

PGR has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 3.7% so far in 2026.

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