BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over PFSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PFSI

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.

19
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

PFSI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

PFSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

PFSI's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFSI.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over PFSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PFSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.6x$16.03-74%
Fair8.9x$39.77-35%
Forward9.3x$60.73—
Current14x$60.73—
Expensive18x$80.01+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFSI's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

PFSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PFSI's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PFSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PFSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$65.09
Downside-47%$32.24

Calculated from the latest close: $60.73 on Nov 12.

PFSI trails BLK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

PFSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.65Q3 2024: $3.18Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $7.21Q3 2025: $9.28Q4 2025: $9.30Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.65Q3 2024: $3.18Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $7.21Q3 2025: $9.28Q4 2025: $9.30Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+46%
Q3 2026$4.45-52%
Q2 2026$7.28+1%
Q1 2026$9.41+44%
Q4 2025$9.30+59%
Q3 2025$9.28+192%
Q2 2025$7.21+98%
Q1 2025$6.52+124%
Q4 2024$5.84+113%

PFSI has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over PFSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PFSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $306MQ2 2024: $406MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $633MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $545MQ2 2026: $497MQ3 2026: $469M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $306MQ2 2024: $406MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $633MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $545MQ2 2026: $497MQ3 2026: $469M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$468.8M-26%
Q2 2026$497M+12%
Q1 2026$545M+26%
Q4 2025$538M+14%
Q3 2025$632.9M+54%
Q2 2025$444.7M+9.5%
Q1 2025$430.9M+41%
Q4 2024$470.1M+30%

PFSI's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $469M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over PFSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PFSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: −$899MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: −$394MQ4 2024: −$2.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$699MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $850M
Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: −$899MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: −$394MQ4 2024: −$2.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$699MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $850M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$850.3M+$1.5B
Q2 2026$2.1B+$2.3B
Q1 2026-$1.3B-226%
Q4 2025-$1.9B+$251.6M
Q3 2025-$699.4M-$305.6M
Q2 2025-$132.6M+$960.7M
Q1 2025$1.1B+$2B
Q4 2024-$2.1B-600%

PFSI's free cash flow was −$252M over the past year, against −$1.9B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PFSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-117K shares
1 year-1.4%-745K shares
3 years+1.1%+573K shares
5 years-19%-12.5M shares
Available history-34%-27.2M shares

PFSI has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over PFSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PFSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 14.7xQ1 2024: 14.8xQ2 2024: 14.2xQ3 2024: 17.5xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.8xQ3 2025: 9.3xQ4 2025: 9.8xQ1 2026: 9.9xQ2 2026: 10.9xQ3 2026: 17.2x
Q4 2023: 14.7xQ1 2024: 14.8xQ2 2024: 14.2xQ3 2024: 17.5xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.8xQ3 2025: 9.3xQ4 2025: 9.8xQ1 2026: 9.9xQ2 2026: 10.9xQ3 2026: 17.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202617.2xHigh
Q2 202610.9xHigh
Q1 20269.9xHigh
Q4 20259.8xHigh
Q3 20259.3xHigh
Q2 202511.8xHigh
Q1 202510.8xHigh
Q4 202411.0xHigh

PFSI's net debt is about 17 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

PFSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.8Neutral
Stochastic22.4Neutral

PFSI's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PFSI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPFSISector medianRelative
PE14x13x4.8% above
PE %67634 pts above

PFSI has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over PFSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PFSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.62.9% below
20 week MA$71.315% below
50 week MA$89.832% below
100 week MA$98.338% below
200 week MA$90.433% below

PFSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over PFSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PFSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.9$65.3+92%
2021$65.3$70.0+7.2%
2022$70.0$56.8-19%
2023$56.8$88.4+56%
2024$88.4$102.1+16%
2025$102.1$133.9+31%
2026 YTD$133.9$60.7-55%

PFSI is down 55% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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