BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc.

63
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

OWL has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

OWL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
N/A
N/A

OWL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OWL.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

OWL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$9.75—
Current70x$9.75—
Cheap90x$12.57+29%
Fair142x$19.84+104%
Expensive192x$26.83+175%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OWL has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

OWL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OWL, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails OWL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OWL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$13.65
Downside-28%$7.03

Calculated from the latest close: $9.75 on Nov 12.

OWL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over OWL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OWL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.94
Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.94+574%
Q3 2026$0.14+56%
Q2 2026$0.120%
Q1 2026$0.12-25%
Q4 2025$0.10-50%
Q3 2025$0.09-47%
Q2 2025$0.12-25%
Q1 2025$0.16+33%
Q4 2024$0.20+100%

OWL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.14 over the past year, against $0.20 in late 2024. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over OWL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OWL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $513MQ2 2024: $550MQ3 2024: $601MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $147MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $807M
Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $513MQ2 2024: $550MQ3 2024: $601MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $147MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $807M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$806.5M+436%
Q2 2026$137M-0.7%
Q1 2026$138M+4.1%
Q4 2025$146.8M+6.7%
Q3 2025$150.4M-75%
Q2 2025$138M-75%
Q1 2025$132.6M-74%
Q4 2024$137.6M-72%

OWL's revenue is growing: $807M last quarter, up 436% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

OWL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: $315MQ4 2024: $310MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $422MQ4 2025: $359MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $453MQ3 2026: $601M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: $315MQ4 2024: $310MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $422MQ4 2025: $359MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $453MQ3 2026: $601M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$601.4M+42%
Q2 2026$452.9M+9.8%
Q1 2026$89M+1996%
Q4 2025$359.1M+16%
Q3 2025$422.5M+34%
Q2 2025$412.5M+53%
Q1 2025$4.2M-90%
Q4 2024$310.1M+13%

OWL has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over OWL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OWL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 478MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 539MQ3 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 638MQ2 2025: 656MQ3 2025: 674MQ4 2025: 662MQ1 2026: 681MQ2 2026: 689MQ3 2026: 699M
Q4 2023: 478MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 539MQ3 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 638MQ2 2025: 656MQ3 2025: 674MQ4 2025: 662MQ1 2026: 681MQ2 2026: 689MQ3 2026: 699M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+10.6M shares
1 year+3.7%+25.2M shares
3 years-51%-732M shares
5 years+118%+379M shares

OWL has 699M diluted shares, up 3.7% from a year ago, despite $77M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

OWL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 6.3x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 6.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20246.3xHigh
Q3 20242.9xModerate
Q2 20242.6xModerate
Q1 20242.7xModerate
Q4 20232.5xModerate
Q3 20233.1xElevated
Q2 20233.7xElevated
Q1 20234.8xHigh

OWL's net debt is about 6.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OWL.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

OWL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.2Neutral
Stochastic32.1Neutral

OWL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over OWL on valuation relative to its sector.

OWL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOWLSector medianRelative
PE70x13x435% above
PE %06161 pts below

OWL is trading at 70x earnings, a 435% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over OWL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OWL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.502.6% above
20 week MA$10.24.2% below
50 week MA$11.011% below
100 week MA$15.136% below
200 week MA$15.336% below

OWL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 36% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over OWL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OWL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.8$11.6+7.2%
2021$11.6$14.9+29%
2022$14.9$10.7-28%
2023$10.7$14.9+39%
2024$14.9$23.6+58%
2025$23.6$15.0-36%
2026 YTD$15.0$9.75-35%

OWL is down 35% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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