OWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc.

63
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

OWL's fundamentals are strong: revenue more than doubled and its operating margin improved to −106%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

OWL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
N/A
N/A

OWL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OWL.

OWL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$9.75—
Current70x$9.75—
Cheap90x$12.57+29%
Fair142x$19.84+104%
Expensive192x$26.83+175%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OWL's PE is 70x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OWL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OWL, with profitability improving.

OWL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$13.65
Downside-28%$7.03

Calculated from the latest close: $9.75 on Nov 12.

OWL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +40% against −28%.

OWL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.94
Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.94+574%
Q3 2026$0.14+56%
Q2 2026$0.120%
Q1 2026$0.12-25%
Q4 2025$0.10-50%
Q3 2025$0.09-47%
Q2 2025$0.12-25%
Q1 2025$0.16+33%
Q4 2024$0.20+100%

OWL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.14 over the past year, against $0.20 in late 2024. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

OWL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $513MQ2 2024: $550MQ3 2024: $601MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $147MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $807M
Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $513MQ2 2024: $550MQ3 2024: $601MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $150MQ4 2025: $147MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $807M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$806.5M+436%
Q2 2026$137M-0.7%
Q1 2026$138M+4.1%
Q4 2025$146.8M+6.7%
Q3 2025$150.4M-75%
Q2 2025$138M-75%
Q1 2025$132.6M-74%
Q4 2024$137.6M-72%

OWL's revenue is growing: $807M last quarter, up 436% from the same quarter a year ago.

OWL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: $315MQ4 2024: $310MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $422MQ4 2025: $359MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $453MQ3 2026: $601M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: $315MQ4 2024: $310MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $422MQ4 2025: $359MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $453MQ3 2026: $601M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$601.4M+42%
Q2 2026$452.9M+9.8%
Q1 2026$89M+1996%
Q4 2025$359.1M+16%
Q3 2025$422.5M+34%
Q2 2025$412.5M+53%
Q1 2025$4.2M-90%
Q4 2024$310.1M+13%

OWL's free cash flow was $1.5B over the past year, up 31% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OWL.

OWL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 478MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 539MQ3 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 638MQ2 2025: 656MQ3 2025: 674MQ4 2025: 662MQ1 2026: 681MQ2 2026: 689MQ3 2026: 699M
Q4 2023: 478MQ1 2024: 499MQ2 2024: 539MQ3 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 638MQ2 2025: 656MQ3 2025: 674MQ4 2025: 662MQ1 2026: 681MQ2 2026: 689MQ3 2026: 699M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+10.6M shares
1 year+3.7%+25.2M shares
3 years-51%-732M shares
5 years+118%+379M shares

OWL has 699M diluted shares, up 3.7% from a year ago, despite $77M in buybacks over the past year.

OWL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 6.3x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 6.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20246.3xHigh
Q3 20242.9xModerate
Q2 20242.6xModerate
Q1 20242.7xModerate
Q4 20232.5xModerate
Q3 20233.1xElevated
Q2 20233.7xElevated
Q1 20234.8xHigh

OWL's net debt is about 6.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OWL.

OWL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.2Neutral
Stochastic32.1Neutral

OWL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

OWL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOWLSector medianRelative
PE70x13x435% above
PE %06161 pts below

OWL is trading at 70x earnings, a 435% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

OWL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.502.6% above
20 week MA$10.24.2% below
50 week MA$11.011% below
100 week MA$15.136% below
200 week MA$15.336% below

OWL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 36% below its 200-week average.

OWL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.8$11.6+7.2%
2021$11.6$14.9+29%
2022$14.9$10.7-28%
2023$10.7$14.9+39%
2024$14.9$23.6+58%
2025$23.6$15.0-36%
2026 YTD$15.0$9.75-35%

OWL is down 35% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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