BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NBTB

NBT Bancorp Inc.

63
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

NBTB has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

NBTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

NBTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBTB.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

NBTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$45.27-14%
Forward12x$52.72—
Fair13x$54.56+3.5%
Current13x$52.72—
Expensive15x$62.58+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBTB has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

NBTB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NBTB, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails NBTB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NBTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$63.81
Downside-13%$46.06

Calculated from the latest close: $52.72 on Nov 12.

NBTB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

NBTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.65Q1 2024: $2.58Q2 2024: $2.57Q3 2024: $2.83Q4 2024: $2.97Q1 2025: $3.03Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $3.01Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.54Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.20Forward: $4.46
Q4 2023: $2.65Q1 2024: $2.58Q2 2024: $2.57Q3 2024: $2.83Q4 2024: $2.97Q1 2025: $3.03Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $3.01Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.54Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.20Forward: $4.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.46+6.2%
Q3 2026$4.20+40%
Q2 2026$4.12+48%
Q1 2026$3.54+17%
Q4 2025$3.33+12%
Q3 2025$3.01+6.4%
Q2 2025$2.78+8.2%
Q1 2025$3.03+17%
Q4 2024$2.97+12%

NBTB has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over NBTB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NBTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $140MQ3 2024: $147MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $155MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $140MQ3 2024: $147MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $155MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$195M+4.8%
Q2 2026$186.7M+9.1%
Q1 2026$184.5M+19%
Q4 2025$185.1M+25%
Q3 2025$186.1M+26%
Q2 2025$171.2M+22%
Q1 2025$154.7M+10%
Q4 2024$148.5M+7.9%

NBTB's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $195M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

NBTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$74.4M+0.1%
Q2 2026$60.5M+37%
Q1 2026$48.6M+27%
Q4 2025$62.1M+36%
Q3 2025$74.3M+55%
Q2 2025$44.1M-10%
Q1 2025$38.3M+12%
Q4 2024$45.5M+39%

NBTB has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NBTB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-21K shares
1 year-0.9%-466K shares
3 years+15%+6.8M shares
5 years+20%+8.6M shares
Available history+19%+8.1M shares

NBTB has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over NBTB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NBTB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.6xVery low

NBTB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NBTB.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

NBTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.2Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

NBTB's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NBTB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBTBSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.6% below
PE %416322 pts below

NBTB has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

NBTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.81.7% above
20 week MA$51.91.6% above
50 week MA$47.311% above
100 week MA$45.316% above
200 week MA$41.826% above

NBTB is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

NBTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.7$31.9-22%
2021$31.9$38.0+19%
2022$38.0$43.4+14%
2023$43.4$41.9-3.4%
2024$41.9$48.4+16%
2025$48.4$42.7-12%
2026 YTD$42.7$52.7+23%

NBTB has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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