BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over NBHC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corporation

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential15/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

NBHC's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

NBHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

NBHC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBHC.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over NBHC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.6x$37.04—
Cheap11x$13.75-63%
Fair13x$16.12-56%
Expensive15x$19.14-48%
Current29x$37.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBHC's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.6x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

NBHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NBHC, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NBHC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NBHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$39.41
Downside-37%$23.50

Calculated from the latest close: $37.04 on Nov 12.

NBHC trails BLK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over NBHC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87+207%
Q3 2026$1.26-60%
Q2 2026$2.38-23%
Q1 2026$2.68-7.3%
Q4 2025$2.85-7.5%
Q3 2025$3.15-2.5%
Q2 2025$3.09-6.6%
Q1 2025$2.89-17%
Q4 2024$3.08-17%

NBHC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.26 over the past year, against $3.72 in late 2023.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over NBHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$126.4M+16%
Q2 2026$129.1M+24%
Q1 2026$126.8M+24%
Q4 2025$100.6M-0.6%
Q3 2025$108.9M+2.7%
Q2 2025$104.5M+7%
Q1 2025$102.1M+0.3%
Q4 2024$101.3M-4.1%

NBHC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $126M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

NBHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$66.1M+26%
Q2 2026$135.1M+318%
Q1 2026-$56.8M-243%
Q4 2025$38.1M-18%
Q3 2025$52.4M+12%
Q2 2025$32.3M+1.3%
Q1 2025$39.6M+32%
Q4 2024$46.4M+4%

NBHC has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over NBHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NBHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-157K shares
1 year+18%+6.7M shares
3 years+17%+6.6M shares
5 years+44%+13.7M shares
Available history+42%+13.2M shares

NBHC has 45M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $41M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

NBHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NBHC has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

NBHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.0Neutral
Stochastic6.4Oversold

NBHC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK has the edge over NBHC on valuation relative to its sector.

NBHC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBHCSector medianRelative
PE29x13x126% above
PE %1006337 pts above

NBHC is trading at 29x earnings, a 126% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over NBHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NBHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.02.6% below
20 week MA$41.09.7% below
50 week MA$41.09.6% below
100 week MA$39.87% below
200 week MA$38.22.9% below

NBHC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.9% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over NBHC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NBHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.3$33.1-6.3%
2021$33.1$43.5+32%
2022$43.5$42.1-3.3%
2023$42.1$37.2-12%
2024$37.2$43.2+16%
2025$43.2$38.8-10%
2026 YTD$38.8$37.0-4.6%

NBHC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 4.6% so far in 2026.

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