BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MTG

MGIC Investment Corporation

51
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MTG has a slight edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

MTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MTG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTG.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over MTG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$18.32-34%
Fair8.2x$26.43-4.8%
Forward8.3x$27.76—
Current8.6x$27.76—
Expensive9.3x$29.95+7.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTG's PE is in its fair range at 8.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

MTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MTG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails MTG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$32.54
Downside-10%$24.88

Calculated from the latest close: $27.76 on Nov 12.

MTG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

MTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.36+4.4%
Q3 2026$3.22+3.9%
Q2 2026$3.20+5.3%
Q1 2026$3.15+5%
Q4 2025$3.14+8.7%
Q3 2025$3.10+9.2%
Q2 2025$3.04+12%
Q1 2025$3.00+15%
Q4 2024$2.89+16%

MTG has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over MTG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299.1M-1.8%
Q2 2026$295.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$297.1M-3%
Q4 2025$298.7M-0.9%
Q3 2025$304.5M-0.7%
Q2 2025$304.2M-0.3%
Q1 2025$306.2M+4%
Q4 2024$301.4M+6.2%

MTG's revenue has held roughly level: $299M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

MTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216.3M+0.6%
Q2 2026$184.5M+0.8%
Q1 2026$76.7M-66%
Q4 2025$230.2M+27%
Q3 2025$215.1M+18%
Q2 2025$183M+8.3%
Q1 2025$223.5M+17%
Q4 2024$181.9M-2.1%

MTG has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-5.5M shares
1 year-11%-26M shares
3 years-28%-80.2M shares
5 years-42%-148M shares
Available history-45%-169M shares

MTG has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over MTG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

MTG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTG.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

MTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic42.7Neutral

MTG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MTG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTGSector medianRelative
PE8.6x13x34% below
PE %62631 pt below

MTG has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over MTG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.01% below
20 week MA$29.25.1% below
50 week MA$27.90.5% below
100 week MA$27.02.9% above
200 week MA$23.120% above

MTG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 20% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over MTG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.1$12.3-13%
2021$12.3$14.1+15%
2022$14.1$12.9-8.2%
2023$12.9$19.3+49%
2024$19.3$23.7+23%
2025$23.7$29.8+26%
2026 YTD$29.8$27.8-6.8%

MTG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 6.8% so far in 2026.

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