BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

59
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MBIN has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

MBIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MBIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBIN.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

MBIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$33.76-37%
Fair6.3x$38.13-29%
Expensive8.1x$49.06-8.4%
Current8.8x$53.56—
Forward9.1x$53.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBIN has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

MBIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBIN, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails MBIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MBIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$72.72
Downside-16%$45.19

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

MBIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over MBIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.86-3.4%
Q3 2026$6.07+40%
Q2 2026$4.98+9.7%
Q1 2026$4.10-24%
Q4 2025$3.78-40%
Q3 2025$4.34-28%
Q2 2025$4.54-31%
Q1 2025$5.43-15%
Q4 2024$6.30+12%

MBIN earned $6.07 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over MBIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.9M+31%
Q2 2026$182.2M+1.7%
Q1 2026$175.2M+20%
Q4 2025$185.3M-4.4%
Q3 2025$171.1M+14%
Q2 2025$179.2M+12%
Q1 2025$145.9M-13%
Q4 2024$193.8M+22%

MBIN's revenue is growing: $225M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over MBIN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MBIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$616.9M+2472%
Q2 2026$210.9M+$336.5M
Q1 2026-$598.5M-524%
Q4 2025-$401.7M-$385.4M
Q3 2025$24M+$521.2M
Q2 2025-$125.7M-374%
Q1 2025$141.2M+$527.3M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-102%

MBIN's free cash flow was −$172M over the past year, against $23M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over MBIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year+0.2%+82.8K shares
3 years+6.2%+2.7M shares
5 years+6.3%+2.7M shares
Available history+6.8%+2.9M shares

MBIN has 46M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

MBIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

MBIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

MBIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.0Neutral
Stochastic56.3Neutral

MBIN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MBIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMBINSector medianRelative
PE8.8x13x32% below
PE %866323 pts above

MBIN has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

MBIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.85.5% above
20 week MA$51.53.9% above
50 week MA$46.216% above
100 week MA$40.333% above
200 week MA$37.941% above

MBIN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

MBIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$18.6+43%
2021$18.6$31.5+70%
2022$31.5$24.5-22%
2023$24.5$42.6+74%
2024$42.6$36.3-15%
2025$36.3$33.7-7.2%
2026 YTD$33.7$53.6+59%

MBIN has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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