BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over MAIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

MAIN

Main Street Capital Corporation

46
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MAIN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

MAIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

MAIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$44.46-21%
Fair12x$56.85+1.1%
Current12x$56.23—
Expensive15x$70.68+26%
Forward15x$56.23—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAIN has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

MAIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails MAIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MAIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$65.34
Downside-14%$48.47

Calculated from the latest close: $56.23 on Nov 12.

MAIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over MAIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MAIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76-21%
Q3 2026$4.78+20%
Q2 2026$4.50+12%
Q1 2026$3.91-3.5%
Q4 2025$3.99-2.4%
Q3 2025$4.00-3.1%
Q2 2025$4.03-2.2%
Q1 2025$4.05-2.9%
Q4 2024$4.09-1.2%

MAIN earned $4.78 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 19% for BLK versus down 57% for MAIN.

MAIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$55.5M-57%
Q1 2022$97.5M+20%
Q4 2021$135.5M+32%
Q3 2021$123.7M+22%
Q2 2021$129.7M+129%
Q4 2020$102.8M+183%

MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over MAIN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MAIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.5M-21%
Q2 2026$116.6M+14%
Q1 2026-$138.5M-$118.1M
Q4 2025-$218.5M-251%
Q3 2025$90.6M+25%
Q2 2025$102.5M+$289M
Q1 2025-$20.4M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$145M-5.6%

MAIN's free cash flow was −$169M over the past year, against $318M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over MAIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MAIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+503K shares
1 year+4.6%+4.1M shares
3 years+13%+10.8M shares
5 years+36%+24.7M shares
Available history+47%+30M shares

MAIN has 94M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

MAIN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20226.1xHigh
Q1 20224.8xHigh
Q4 20214.8xHigh
Q3 20214.1xHigh
Q2 20214.2xHigh
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 202071.9xHigh
Q4 20198.0xHigh

MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

MAIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic52.2Neutral

MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMAINSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.7% below
PE %466317 pts below

MAIN has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over MAIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MAIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.02.3% above
20 week MA$55.61.1% above
50 week MA$56.10.2% above
100 week MA$57.82.7% below
200 week MA$51.39.7% above

MAIN's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.7% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over MAIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MAIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.4$31.1-28%
2021$31.1$44.0+41%
2022$44.0$36.8-16%
2023$36.8$43.2+18%
2024$43.2$57.9+34%
2025$57.9$60.8+5%
2026 YTD$60.8$56.2-7.5%

MAIN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 7.5% so far in 2026.

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