BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LNC

Lincoln National Corporation

74
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LNC has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

LNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

LNC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LNC.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

LNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.5x$41.80—
Cheap3.8x$63.26+51%
Forward4.9x$41.80—
Fair8.9x$149+257%
Expensive15x$256+512%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LNC has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

LNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails LNC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$55.08
Downside-13%$36.21

Calculated from the latest close: $41.80 on Nov 12.

LNC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

LNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54-49%
Q3 2026$16.71+50%
Q2 2026$12.06+109%
Q1 2026$9.14+29%
Q4 2025$5.83-68%
Q3 2025$11.17+660%
Q2 2025$5.76-40%
Q1 2025$7.07-4.2%
Q4 2024$18.41+$23.33

LNC has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over LNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.5B+20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+12%
Q1 2026$5.3B+13%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.8%
Q3 2025$4.6B+11%
Q2 2025$4B-22%
Q1 2025$4.7B+14%
Q4 2024$5.1B+624%

LNC's revenue is growing: $5.5B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

LNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$875M+$2B
Q2 2026-$558M-155%
Q1 2026$138M+$410M
Q4 2025$233M+5%
Q3 2025-$1.1B-$1.1B
Q2 2025$1B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$272M+$1.1B
Q4 2024$222M+$2.1B

LNC has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over LNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+235K shares
1 year+1.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+15%+25.8M shares
5 years+4%+7.6M shares
Available history-2.7%-5.5M shares

LNC has 197M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

LNC Net Leverage

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

LNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

LNC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLNCSector medianRelative
PE2.5x13x81% below
PE %56358 pts below

LNC has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over LNC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.63% above
20 week MA$42.00.4% below
50 week MA$39.85.1% above
100 week MA$38.010% above
200 week MA$33.027% above

LNC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over LNC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.7$49.7-15%
2021$49.7$67.9+36%
2022$67.9$30.1-56%
2023$30.1$27.0-10%
2024$27.0$31.8+18%
2025$31.8$45.7+44%
2026 YTD$45.7$41.8-8.6%

LNC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 8.6% so far in 2026.

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