BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HG

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.

54
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

HG has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

HG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

HG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HG.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

HG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$27.30-30%
Fair6.2x$32.22-17%
Expensive6.8x$35.17-9.2%
Current7.4x$38.74—
Forward8.3x$38.74—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HG has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

HG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HG, with profitability holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$44.42
Downside-23%$29.66

Calculated from the latest close: $38.74 on Nov 12.

HG trails BLK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

HG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $3.67Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.09Q2 2026: $5.72Q3 2026: $5.21Forward: $4.67
Q4 2024: $3.67Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.09Q2 2026: $5.72Q3 2026: $5.21Forward: $4.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.67-10%
Q3 2026$5.21+23%
Q2 2026$5.72+57%
Q1 2026$6.09+99%
Q4 2025$5.55+51%

HG has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over HG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $513MQ4 2024: $570MQ1 2025: $769MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $759MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $828M
Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $659MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $513MQ4 2024: $570MQ1 2025: $769MQ2 2025: $741MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $759MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $828M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$828M+24%
Q2 2026$839.6M+13%
Q1 2026$758.9M-1.3%
Q4 2025$728.3M+28%
Q3 2025$667.7M+30%
Q2 2025$740.8M+26%
Q1 2025$768.8M+17%
Q4 2024$570.5M+15%

HG's revenue is growing: $828M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

HG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $284MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $156MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $284MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M-9.6%
Q2 2026$125.3M-43%
Q1 2026$100.8M+189%
Q4 2025$293.4M+3.3%
Q3 2025$295.6M+84%
Q2 2025$218.4M+40%
Q1 2025$34.9M-78%
Q4 2024$284.1M+701%

HG's free cash flow was $787M over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HG.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HG Total Shares

Q1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
Q1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-178K shares
1 year-3.5%-3.7M shares
3 years-8.3%-9.1M shares

HG has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

HG Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

HG has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

HG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic74.2Neutral

HG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x43% below
PE %1004060 pts above

HG has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

HG has stronger trend alignment. BLK is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus HG above 4 of 4.

HG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.78.7% above
20 week MA$35.49.3% above
50 week MA$32.021% above
100 week MA$26.845% above

HG is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 100-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

HG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$15.2$15.0-1.6%
2024$15.0$18.7+25%
2025$18.7$28.2+51%
2026 YTD$28.2$38.7+37%

HG has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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