BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GCMG

GCM Grosvenor Inc.

63
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

GCMG has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

GCMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

GCMG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GCMG.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

GCMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$13.53—
Cheap23x$13.18-2.6%
Current23x$13.53—
Fair24x$14.14+4.5%
Expensive29x$16.79+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCMG has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

GCMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCMG, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails GCMG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GCMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$17.25
Downside-11%$12.10

Calculated from the latest close: $13.53 on Nov 12.

GCMG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

GCMG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+83%
Q1 2021$0.43+$1.02
Q4 2020$0.22+$0.22

GCMG has the edge over BLK in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over GCMG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCMG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$145.6M+7.8%
Q2 2026$134.3M+12%
Q1 2026$124.8M-0.8%
Q4 2025$177.1M+7.2%
Q3 2025$135M+9.8%
Q2 2025$119.7M+2.3%
Q1 2025$125.8M+16%
Q4 2024$165.3M+42%

GCMG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $146M last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

GCMG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+17%
Q2 2026$36.3M-11%
Q1 2026$47.9M+49%
Q4 2025$23.9M-35%
Q3 2025$78.3M+26%
Q2 2025$40.8M+218%
Q1 2025$32.1M+60%
Q4 2024$37M+53%

GCMG has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over GCMG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GCMG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.4M shares
1 year+3.8%+7.5M shares
3 years+8.7%+16.4M shares
5 years+414%+165M shares

GCMG has 205M diluted shares, up 3.8% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over GCMG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GCMG Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.5xHigh

GCMG's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GCMG.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

GCMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic31.7Neutral

GCMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GCMG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGCMGSector medianRelative
PE23x13x79% above
PE %326331 pts below

GCMG has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

GCMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.95% above
20 week MA$13.13.5% above
50 week MA$11.814% above
100 week MA$12.111% above
200 week MA$10.628% above

GCMG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

GCMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$13.6+33%
2021$13.6$10.1-26%
2022$10.1$7.84-22%
2023$7.84$8.96+14%
2024$8.96$12.2+36%
2025$12.2$11.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$11.5$13.5+18%

GCMG has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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