BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ESNT

Essent Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESNT has a slight edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

ESNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ESNT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ESNT.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over ESNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ESNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$41.50-36%
Fair8.4x$61.43-5.3%
Forward8.6x$64.89—
Current8.9x$64.89—
Expensive9.5x$69.56+7.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESNT's PE is in its fair range at 8.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.6x next year's earnings.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

ESNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESNT, but weaker profitability.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails ESNT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ESNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$76.05
Downside-11%$57.78

Calculated from the latest close: $64.89 on Nov 12.

ESNT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

ESNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+3.1%
Q3 2026$7.33+6.5%
Q2 2026$7.18+4.7%
Q1 2026$7.03+2.8%
Q4 2025$6.90+0.7%
Q3 2025$6.88-0.3%
Q2 2025$6.86-0.7%
Q1 2025$6.84+3.5%
Q4 2024$6.85+5.4%

ESNT has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over ESNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ESNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$374.2M+20%
Q2 2026$362.7M+14%
Q1 2026$336.1M+5.8%
Q4 2025$312.4M-0.8%
Q3 2025$311.8M-1.5%
Q2 2025$319.1M+2%
Q1 2025$317.6M+6.4%
Q4 2024$315M+6%

ESNT's revenue is growing: $374M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

ESNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$237.9M+13%
Q2 2026$196.1M+3.9%
Q1 2026$191.2M-14%
Q4 2025$228M+0.9%
Q3 2025$210.6M-7.9%
Q2 2025$188.8M+0.6%
Q1 2025$221.3M+4.2%
Q4 2024$226M+5.9%

ESNT has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ESNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.6M shares
1 year-8.9%-8.7M shares
3 years-16%-17.3M shares
5 years-19%-21.6M shares
Available history-8.7%-8.6M shares

ESNT has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over ESNT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ESNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

ESNT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ESNT.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

ESNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic55.2Neutral

ESNT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ESNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricESNTSector medianRelative
PE8.9x13x32% below
PE %64631 pt above

ESNT has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over ESNT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ESNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.21.1% above
20 week MA$66.01.7% below
50 week MA$63.22.7% above
100 week MA$60.96.5% above
200 week MA$56.415% above

ESNT's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over ESNT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ESNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.3$43.9-16%
2021$43.9$44.5+1.3%
2022$44.5$39.0-12%
2023$39.0$52.7+35%
2024$52.7$54.1+2.5%
2025$54.1$65.9+22%
2026 YTD$65.9$64.9-1.5%

ESNT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 1.5% so far in 2026.

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