BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

54
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CINF has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

CINF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CINF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CINF.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

CINF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE461x922x1384x1845x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE461x922x1384x1845x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$128-33%
Fair10x$174-8.6%
Current11x$190—
Expensive19x$327+72%
Forward21x$190—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CINF has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

CINF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CINF's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CINF, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CINF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$206.65
Downside-21%$150.00

Calculated from the latest close: $190.31 on Nov 12.

CINF trails BLK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

CINF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.66Q1 2024: $15.02Q2 2024: $13.62Q3 2024: $19.45Q4 2024: $14.53Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $11.54Q3 2025: $13.45Q4 2025: $15.17Q1 2026: $17.49Q2 2026: $21.20Q3 2026: $17.05Forward: $8.94
Q4 2023: $11.66Q1 2024: $15.02Q2 2024: $13.62Q3 2024: $19.45Q4 2024: $14.53Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $11.54Q3 2025: $13.45Q4 2025: $15.17Q1 2026: $17.49Q2 2026: $21.20Q3 2026: $17.05Forward: $8.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.94-48%
Q3 2026$17.05+27%
Q2 2026$21.20+84%
Q1 2026$17.49+91%
Q4 2025$15.17+4.4%
Q3 2025$13.45-31%
Q2 2025$11.54-15%
Q1 2025$9.18-39%
Q4 2024$14.53+25%

CINF has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over CINF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CINF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B-18%
Q2 2026$4.3B+32%
Q1 2026$2.9B+12%
Q4 2025$3.1B+22%
Q3 2025$3.7B+12%
Q2 2025$3.2B+28%
Q1 2025$2.6B-13%
Q4 2024$2.5B-24%

CINF's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over CINF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CINF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $569MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $737MQ3 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $638MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $737MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $939MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $698MQ3 2026: $787M
Q4 2023: $569MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $737MQ3 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $638MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $737MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $939MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $698MQ3 2026: $787M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$787M-29%
Q2 2026$698M-5.3%
Q1 2026$654M+113%
Q4 2025$939M+47%
Q3 2025$1.1B+22%
Q2 2025$737M0%
Q1 2025$307M-11%
Q4 2024$638M+12%

CINF's free cash flow was $3.1B over the past year, up 10% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CINF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 156MQ3 2026: 155M
Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 156MQ3 2026: 155M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-600K shares
1 year-1.7%-2.7M shares
3 years-1.1%-1.8M shares
5 years-4.8%-7.8M shares
Available history-6.1%-10M shares

CINF has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

CINF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2020-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.1xNet Cash

CINF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

CINF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic79.4Neutral

CINF's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CINF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCINFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %58635 pts below

CINF has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

CINF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$174.19.3% above
20 week MA$175.38.6% above
50 week MA$168.613% above
100 week MA$158.220% above
200 week MA$137.039% above

CINF is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

CINF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$103.9$85.2-18%
2021$85.2$112.3+32%
2022$112.3$104.5-7%
2023$104.5$103.5-1%
2024$103.5$144.1+39%
2025$144.1$164.8+14%
2026 YTD$164.8$190.3+15%

CINF has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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