BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has the edge over CGBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CGBD

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

42
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CGBD has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

CGBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CGBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CGBD.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over CGBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CGBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.5x$2.84-75%
Forward7.6x$11.18—
Fair10x$5.27-53%
Expensive12x$6.15-45%
Current22x$11.18—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGBD's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its cheap range.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

CGBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CGBD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails CGBD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CGBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$13.01
Downside-14%$9.60

Calculated from the latest close: $11.18 on Nov 12.

CGBD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over CGBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CGBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.47+183%
Q3 2026$0.52-55%
Q2 2026$0.50-58%
Q1 2026$0.70-47%
Q4 2025$1.01-36%
Q3 2025$1.16-33%
Q2 2025$1.18-38%
Q1 2025$1.31-21%
Q4 2024$1.58-3.7%

CGBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.52 over the past year, against $2.78 in late 2021.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 19% for BLK versus down 70% for CGBD.

CGBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$15.8M-70%
Q1 2022$40.4M-10%
Q4 2021$43.7M-9.4%
Q3 2021$57.5M+32%
Q2 2021$52.5M-23%
Q4 2020$48.2M+15%

CGBD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $16M last quarter, down 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over CGBD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CGBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: −$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: −$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.2M+7.1%
Q2 2026$73.6M+$304.5M
Q1 2026$212.4M+46%
Q4 2025-$153.3M-$42.1M
Q3 2025$33.8M-46%
Q2 2025-$230.9M-423%
Q1 2025$145.8M+80%
Q4 2024-$111.1M-299%

CGBD's free cash flow was $169M over the past year, against −$162M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CGBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-727K shares
1 year-5.6%-4.1M shares
3 years+23%+12.8M shares
5 years+16%+9.6M shares
Available history+17%+10M shares

CGBD has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

CGBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20228.9xHigh
Q1 20226.0xHigh
Q4 20216.3xHigh
Q3 20216.1xHigh
Q2 20216.1xHigh
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 202097.7xHigh
Q4 201917.9xHigh

CGBD's net debt is about 8.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

CGBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic50.2Neutral

CGBD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CGBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGBDSector medianRelative
PE22x13x65% above
PE %906327 pts above

CGBD has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over CGBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CGBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.9% above
20 week MA$10.92.6% above
50 week MA$11.41.5% below
100 week MA$13.115% below
200 week MA$14.422% below

CGBD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 22% below its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over CGBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CGBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.2$11.1-22%
2021$11.1$14.0+27%
2022$14.0$14.8+5.2%
2023$14.8$15.0+1.4%
2024$15.0$18.3+22%
2025$18.3$12.6-31%
2026 YTD$12.6$11.2-11%

CGBD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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