BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CBSH

Commerce Bancshares, Inc.

59
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

CBSH has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

CBSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CBSH's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CBSH.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

CBSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$53.32-4%
Forward13x$55.57—
Current14x$55.57—
Fair16x$62.21+12%
Expensive19x$75.69+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBSH has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

CBSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CBSH, with profitability improving.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails CBSH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CBSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$65.70
Downside-9%$50.35

Calculated from the latest close: $55.57 on Nov 12.

CBSH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

CBSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.33Q1 2024: $3.29Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $3.53Q4 2024: $3.73Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.04Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $4.00Forward: $4.43
Q4 2023: $3.33Q1 2024: $3.29Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $3.53Q4 2024: $3.73Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.04Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $4.00Forward: $4.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.43+11%
Q3 2026$4.00-1.2%
Q2 2026$3.98-0.7%
Q1 2026$4.02+3.3%
Q4 2025$4.04+8.3%
Q3 2025$4.05+15%
Q2 2025$4.01+18%
Q1 2025$3.89+18%
Q4 2024$3.73+12%

CBSH has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over CBSH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CBSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $398MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $422MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $499MQ3 2026: $494M
Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $398MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $422MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $499MQ3 2026: $494M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$494.3M+12%
Q2 2026$498.9M+12%
Q1 2026$475.7M+11%
Q4 2025$449.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$441M+4.6%
Q2 2025$445.8M+7.5%
Q1 2025$428.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$422.1M+7.3%

CBSH's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $494M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

CBSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: −$151MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $181M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: −$151MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $181M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$181M+60%
Q2 2026$169.1M+68%
Q1 2026$678.4M+438%
Q4 2025$252.6M+$403.3M
Q3 2025$113.3M-73%
Q2 2025$100.5M-28%
Q1 2025$126M+1.2%
Q4 2024-$150.7M-243%

CBSH's free cash flow was $1.3B over the past year, about seven times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CBSH.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over CBSH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CBSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.9M shares
1 year+6.9%+9.1M shares
3 years+3.3%+4.5M shares
5 years+0.2%+350K shares
Available history-1%-1.5M shares

CBSH has 142M diluted shares, up 6.9% from a year ago, despite $422M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

CBSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

CBSH has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

CBSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

CBSH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CBSH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCBSHSector medianRelative
PE14x13x6.7% above
PE %226341 pts below

CBSH has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over CBSH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CBSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.40.2% above
20 week MA$57.43.1% below
50 week MA$54.32.3% above
100 week MA$56.21.1% below
200 week MA$52.95.1% above

CBSH's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 5.1% above its 200-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over CBSH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CBSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.9$52.0+2.2%
2021$52.0$56.0+7.7%
2022$56.0$57.7+3%
2023$57.7$48.4-16%
2024$48.4$59.8+24%
2025$59.8$53.0-11%
2026 YTD$53.0$55.6+4.9%

CBSH has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.9% so far in 2026.

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