CBSH

Commerce Bancshares, Inc.

59
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

CBSH's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 10%, but its operating margin fell 1 points to 41%. At 14x earnings, it's trading below its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CBSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CBSH's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CBSH.

CBSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$53.32-4%
Forward13x$55.57—
Current14x$55.57—
Fair16x$62.21+12%
Expensive19x$75.69+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBSH's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

CBSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CBSH, with profitability improving.

CBSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$65.70
Downside-9%$50.35

Calculated from the latest close: $55.57 on Nov 12.

CBSH's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +18% against −9.4%.

CBSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.33Q1 2024: $3.29Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $3.53Q4 2024: $3.73Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.04Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $4.00Forward: $4.43
Q4 2023: $3.33Q1 2024: $3.29Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $3.53Q4 2024: $3.73Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.04Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $4.00Forward: $4.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.43+11%
Q3 2026$4.00-1.2%
Q2 2026$3.98-0.7%
Q1 2026$4.02+3.3%
Q4 2025$4.04+8.3%
Q3 2025$4.05+15%
Q2 2025$4.01+18%
Q1 2025$3.89+18%
Q4 2024$3.73+12%

CBSH earned $4.00 per share over the past year, down 1.2% from the year before.

CBSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $398MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $422MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $499MQ3 2026: $494M
Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $398MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $422MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $499MQ3 2026: $494M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$494.3M+12%
Q2 2026$498.9M+12%
Q1 2026$475.7M+11%
Q4 2025$449.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$441M+4.6%
Q2 2025$445.8M+7.5%
Q1 2025$428.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$422.1M+7.3%

CBSH's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $494M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CBSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: −$151MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $181M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: −$151MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $181M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$181M+60%
Q2 2026$169.1M+68%
Q1 2026$678.4M+438%
Q4 2025$252.6M+$403.3M
Q3 2025$113.3M-73%
Q2 2025$100.5M-28%
Q1 2025$126M+1.2%
Q4 2024-$150.7M-243%

CBSH's free cash flow was $1.3B over the past year, about seven times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CBSH.

CBSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.9M shares
1 year+6.9%+9.1M shares
3 years+3.3%+4.5M shares
5 years+0.2%+350K shares
Available history-1%-1.5M shares

CBSH has 142M diluted shares, up 6.9% from a year ago, despite $422M in buybacks over the past year.

CBSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

CBSH has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CBSH.

CBSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

CBSH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

CBSH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCBSHSector medianRelative
PE14x13x6.7% above
PE %226341 pts below

CBSH is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CBSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.40.2% above
20 week MA$57.43.1% below
50 week MA$54.32.3% above
100 week MA$56.21.1% below
200 week MA$52.95.1% above

CBSH's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 5.1% above its 200-week average.

CBSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.9$52.0+2.2%
2021$52.0$56.0+7.7%
2022$56.0$57.7+3%
2023$57.7$48.4-16%
2024$48.4$59.8+24%
2025$59.8$53.0-11%
2026 YTD$53.0$55.6+4.9%

CBSH has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.9% so far in 2026.

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