BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BOW

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BOW has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

BOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BOW.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

BOW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$34.03—
Cheap16x$28.41-17%
Fair18x$32.73-3.8%
Current19x$34.03—
Expensive34x$60.90+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BOW has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

BOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BOW, with profitability holding steady.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails BOW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$43.89
Downside-16%$28.44

Calculated from the latest close: $34.03 on Nov 12.

BOW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

BOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $0.86Q2 2024: $0.85Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.56Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $1.78Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $0.86Q2 2024: $0.85Q3 2024: $0.93Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.56Q4 2025: $1.59Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $1.78Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+29%
Q3 2026$1.78+14%
Q2 2026$1.85+26%
Q1 2026$1.73+32%
Q4 2025$1.59+34%
Q3 2025$1.56+68%
Q2 2025$1.47+73%
Q1 2025$1.31+52%
Q4 2024$1.19+49%

BOW has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $172M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $172M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$171.8M+19%
Q2 2026$163.9M+23%
Q1 2026$155.7M+27%
Q4 2025$151.7M+27%
Q3 2025$143.9M+23%
Q2 2025$133.3M+35%
Q1 2025$122.7M+35%
Q4 2024$119.3M+44%

BOW has the edge over BLK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over BOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $191M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $191M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$191.3M+69%
Q2 2026$92.5M-14%
Q1 2026$64.2M+38%
Q4 2025$58.6M-3.7%
Q3 2025$113.5M-4.2%
Q1 2025$46.5M+13%
Q4 2024$60.9M+0.8%
Q3 2024$118.4M+36%

BOW's free cash flow was $407M over the past year, up 24% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BOW.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over BOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+699K shares
1 year+1.8%+606K shares
3 years+8.6%+2.7M shares

BOW has 34M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.4xNet Cash

BOW has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.2Neutral
Stochastic56.5Neutral

BOW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BOW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBOWSector medianRelative
PE19x13x47% above
PE %552728 pts above

BOW has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BOW has stronger trend alignment. BLK is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus BOW above 4 of 4.

BOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.00.1% above
20 week MA$33.12.7% above
50 week MA$28.519% above
100 week MA$30.811% above

BOW is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 100-week average.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

BOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$25.7$34.5+34%
2025$34.5$28.5-17%
2026 YTD$28.5$34.0+19%

BOW has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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