BFH

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BFH has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BFH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BFH's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BFH.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

BFH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$44.57-54%
Fair7x$89.13-9%
Forward7.2x$97.91—
Current7.7x$97.91—
Expensive12x$150+54%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BFH's PE is in its fair range at 7.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK has the edge over BFH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BFH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BFH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

BFH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$140.38
Downside-17%$81.71

Calculated from the latest close: $97.91 on Nov 12.

BFH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails BFH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BFH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.34Q1 2024: $7.96Q2 2024: $9.67Q3 2024: $6.30Q4 2024: $5.49Q1 2025: $5.57Q2 2025: $5.85Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.89Q1 2026: $12.26Q2 2026: $12.87Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $13.54
Q4 2023: $14.34Q1 2024: $7.96Q2 2024: $9.67Q3 2024: $6.30Q4 2024: $5.49Q1 2025: $5.57Q2 2025: $5.85Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.89Q1 2026: $12.26Q2 2026: $12.87Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $13.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.54+6.4%
Q3 2026$12.73+30%
Q2 2026$12.87+120%
Q1 2026$12.26+120%
Q4 2025$10.89+98%
Q3 2025$9.76+55%
Q2 2025$5.85-40%
Q1 2025$5.57-30%
Q4 2024$5.49-62%

BFH has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

BFH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $991MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $983MQ4 2024: $925MQ1 2025: $970MQ2 2025: $929MQ3 2025: $971MQ4 2025: $975MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $993MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $991MQ2 2024: $939MQ3 2024: $983MQ4 2024: $925MQ1 2025: $970MQ2 2025: $929MQ3 2025: $971MQ4 2025: $975MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $993MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$993M+6.9%
Q1 2026$1B+4.9%
Q4 2025$975M+5.4%
Q3 2025$971M-1.2%
Q2 2025$929M-1.1%
Q1 2025$970M-2.1%
Q4 2024$925M-9%

BFH's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over BFH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BFH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $617MQ1 2024: $447MQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: $456MQ4 2024: $479MQ1 2025: $393MQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $605MQ4 2025: $568MQ1 2026: $487MQ2 2026: $533MQ3 2026: $601M
Q4 2023: $617MQ1 2024: $447MQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: $456MQ4 2024: $479MQ1 2025: $393MQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $605MQ4 2025: $568MQ1 2026: $487MQ2 2026: $533MQ3 2026: $601M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$601M-0.7%
Q2 2026$533M+1.3%
Q1 2026$487M+24%
Q4 2025$568M+19%
Q3 2025$605M+33%
Q2 2025$526M+10%
Q1 2025$393M-12%
Q4 2024$479M-22%

BFH's free cash flow was $2.2B over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BFH.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BFH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.4%-1.4M shares
1 year-17%-8.2M shares
3 years-22%-10.8M shares
5 years-21%-10.7M shares
Available history-23%-11.6M shares

BFH has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BFH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ2 2024: -5.8xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -4.9xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -5.1x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: -6.1xQ2 2024: -5.8xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -4.9xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20244.0xElevated

BFH has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BFH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.1Neutral
Stochastic34.1Neutral

BFH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BFH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBFHSector medianRelative
PE7.7x13x41% below
PE %55638 pts below

BFH has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BFH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.93% below
20 week MA$103.85.7% below
50 week MA$90.18.7% above
100 week MA$73.833% above
200 week MA$56.474% above

BFH has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 74% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over BFH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BFH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.5$57.4-35%
2021$57.4$69.1+20%
2022$69.1$37.3-46%
2023$37.3$32.9-12%
2024$32.9$61.9+88%
2025$61.9$76.6+24%
2026 YTD$76.6$97.9+28%

BFH has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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