BCSF

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.

27
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BCSF's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 8.5x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

BCSF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BCSF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCSF.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

BCSF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$7.02-37%
Forward8.1x$11.06โ€”
Fair8.5x$8.15-26%
Expensive10x$9.56-14%
Current12x$11.06โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCSF's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BCSF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BCSF's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

IREN has the edge over BCSF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

BCSF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$12.73
Downside-14%$9.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.06 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BCSF and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BCSF and IREN's risk to reward.

BCSF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.85Q1 2025: $1.74Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $0.99Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.37
Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.85Q1 2025: $1.74Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $0.99Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.37+43%
Q3 2026$0.96-33%
Q2 2026$0.99-40%
Q1 2026$1.14-34%
Q4 2025$1.53-17%
Q3 2025$1.44-28%
Q2 2025$1.66-17%
Q1 2025$1.74-13%
Q4 2024$1.85-2.6%

BCSF has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BCSF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$30.4M-40%
Q1 2022$46.3M+5.3%
Q4 2021$40.7M-22%
Q3 2021$40.4M-41%
Q2 2021$50.3M+23%
Q4 2020$52.5M+27%

IREN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 40% for BCSF versus down 5.1% for IREN.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BCSF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: โˆ’$64MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: โˆ’$136MQ4 2024: โˆ’$20MQ1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: $646,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: โˆ’$64MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: โˆ’$136MQ4 2024: โˆ’$20MQ1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: $646,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.9M+1433%
Q2 2026$70.8M+10858%
Q1 2026$26.6M+$33.9M
Q4 2025$27.2M+$47.1M
Q3 2025$9M+$144.8M
Q2 2025$646K-100%
Q1 2025-$7.3M+$56.4M
Q4 2024-$20M-107%

BCSF has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

BCSF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+0.5%+306K shares
5 years+0.5%+306K shares
Available history+26%+13.2M shares

BCSF has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

BCSF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202212.4xHigh
Q1 20228.3xHigh
Q4 202110.8xHigh
Q3 20219.6xHigh
Q2 20217.7xHigh
Q1 20219.0xHigh
Q4 2020165.0xHigh
Q4 201910.6xHigh

BCSF's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCSF.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

BCSF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic31.3Neutral

BCSF's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BCSF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBCSFSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %936330 pts above

BCSF is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BCSF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.82.8% above
20 week MA$11.75.1% below
50 week MA$12.612% below
100 week MA$14.222% below
200 week MA$14.725% below

BCSF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 25% below its 200-week average.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

BCSF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$12.4-38%
2021$12.4$15.6+25%
2022$15.6$12.5-19%
2023$12.5$15.1+20%
2024$15.1$17.7+17%
2025$17.7$13.9-21%
2026 YTD$13.9$11.1-21%

BCSF has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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