BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.
BCSF's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 8.5x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.
BCSF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BCSF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCSF.
COIN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.
BCSF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.3x | $7.02 | -37% |
| Forward | 8.1x | $11.06 | โ |
| Fair | 8.5x | $8.15 | -26% |
| Expensive | 10x | $9.56 | -14% |
| Current | 12x | $11.06 | โ |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BCSF's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.
COIN PE Valuation
COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BCSF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BCSF's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
COIN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
COIN has the edge over BCSF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BCSF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.37 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.96 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.14 | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.44 | -28% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.66 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.74 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.85 | -2.6% |
BCSF has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
COIN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.36 | โ |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.77 | -124% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.78 | -137% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.72 | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.45 | -53% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.54 | +94% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.32 | +82% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.32 | +4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.48 | +2462% |
COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BCSF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | $30.4M | -40% |
| Q1 2022 | $46.3M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2021 | $40.7M | -22% |
| Q3 2021 | $40.4M | -41% |
| Q2 2021 | $50.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2020 | $52.5M | +27% |
COIN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 40% for BCSF versus down 35% for COIN.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 57% | -28 points |
| Q1 2022 | 73% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2021 | 55% | -21 points |
| Q3 2021 | 58% | -18 points |
| Q2 2021 | 84% | +31 points |
| Q1 2021 | 72% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 76% | +24 points |
| Q3 2020 | 76% | N/A |
BCSF's operating margin was 57% last quarter, down 28 points from the same quarter a year ago.
COIN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | -31% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +138% |
COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | -21 points |
| Q2 2026 | -9.3% | -7.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -36 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -30 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6% | -25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | -12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 46% | +33 points |
COIN's operating margin was 5.1% last quarter, down 21 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BCSF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $137.9M | +1433% |
| Q2 2026 | $70.8M | +10858% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.6M | +$33.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $27.2M | +$47.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $9M | +$144.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $646K | -100% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.3M | +$56.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$20M | -107% |
BCSF has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
COIN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405.5M | +$1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $197.3M | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | $182.7M | +$365.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +218% |
| Q3 2025 | -$784.5M | -213% |
| Q2 2025 | $328.5M | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | -$182.7M | -144% |
| Q4 2024 | $964.6M | +$969.8M |
COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.
BCSF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 12.4x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 8.3x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 10.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 9.6x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 7.7x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 9.0x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 165.0x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 10.6x | High |
BCSF's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCSF.
COIN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.
BCSF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.3 | Neutral |
BCSF's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
COIN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.0 | Oversold |
COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BCSF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BCSF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 12% below |
| PE % | 93 | 63 | 30 pts above |
BCSF is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | COIN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | โ |
COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BCSF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.8 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 5.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.6 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.2 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.7 | 25% below |
BCSF has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
COIN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $163.0 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $165.6 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $184.4 | 29% below |
| 100 week MA | $232.8 | 44% below |
| 200 week MA | $190.3 | 31% below |
COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.
BCSF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.2 | $12.4 | -38% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.6 | +25% |
| 2022 | $15.6 | $12.5 | -19% |
| 2023 | $12.5 | $15.1 | +20% |
| 2024 | $15.1 | $17.7 | +17% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $13.9 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.9 | $11.1 | -21% |
BCSF has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
COIN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $342.0 | $268.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $268.2 | $35.5 | -87% |
| 2023 | $35.5 | $173.9 | +390% |
| 2024 | $173.9 | $265.7 | +53% |
| 2025 | $265.7 | $236.9 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $236.9 | $130.7 | -45% |
COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โ87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.